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Fortinet Championship

Course & Location:
Silverado Resort, Napa, CA
Dates:
Sept 16 - 19, 2021
Purse:
$6,600,000
Par:
712 / Yardage 7,166
Fairways:
Rye/Blue Grass Blend
Greens:
Bent/Poana Grass

Fortinet Championship Preview

The course opened in 1955, but was redesigned just 11 years later in 1966 by Robert Trent Jones Jr . Silverado Resort and Spa hosted the PGA TOUR from 1968-80 before returning in 2014. The venue has produced a prestigious list of winners including Jack Nicklaus (1969), Tom Watson (1978), Ben Crenshaw (1980) and Johnny Miller (1974-75). In addition, Silverado was a PGA TOUR Champions venue from 1989-2002.

 

A resort course with a standard par 72 layout of 4 par 3’s and 4 pars 5’s, the players will need to go low this week.

 

The fairways are tree-lined, so our golfers can’t be too wayward off the tee, or they’ll be in trouble and then we have the poa annua putting surfaces which aren’t to all players liking. Those that reside in the area have a particularly good record at this track so that’s something to bear in mind on the first event of the 2021/22 season.

 

With the Ryder Cup taking centre stage next week the field isn’t the strongest which means a wide-open event, combined with no extreme preference for a particular playing style this will be a tough tone to unpick.

 

5 Key Skills Set Required

  1. SG Off the tee – The list of previous winners here leans toward long straight drivers of the ball.
  2. SG Approach – The greens here are fairly easy to hit by PGA Tour standards we want players who are gaining strokes on approach play.
  3. Proximity from 100-150 yards – There will be an above average number of wedges this week, looking for players who excel in this area is going to do us no harm at all. When low scoring is the order of the day you need players hitting those wedges very close.
  4. SG putting on Poa Annua Green – This is a specialist putting surface and although not a huge factor in the outcome in recent time, I’m certainly favouring players who have a liking for Poa Annua greens.
  5. Overall SG T2G – This is a long and demanding course and without a solid T2G game, players will struggle to challenge the top of the leaderboards.

 

Course History Stats

Players in the field this week that have string course form are the likes of NA, GRILLO AND VARNER.

Fortinet Championship Videos

Fortinet Championship Picks

Best Outsider Pick

Player

Aaron Rai   

  • A player many will not be familiar with, he is a steady European Tour player
  • Comes in off a TOP 20 at the challenging BMW Wentworth golf course
  • He key skill is he game off the tee he is extremely accurate
  • 7th in Fairways found over the past 24 rounds on the PGA Tour
  • This event has provided many player with their first win on tour and this could the breakthrough for Aaron
Odds 100/1 8 places
Sportsbook

Best Outright Pick

Player

John Rahm   

  • The best player in this field by some distance
  • His price with one sportsbook is too big to ignore and for this reason alone he is a headline selection
  • This price will not be available come Thursday so please act quickly
Odds +490
Sportsbook

Top 20 Picks

Player

Will Zalatoris

  • 3RD Strokes Gained T2G over the last 50 rounds
  • 6th Strokes Gained Approach over the last 36 rounds
  • 8th in Ball Striking over the past 36 rounds
  • His putting is his weakness. Poa undulating greens this week might not be to his liking other wise he would be close to an outright pick
Odds +120
Sportsbook

Fortinet Championship Betting Strategies & Previews

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Fortinet Championship Podcast

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Fortinet Championship Betting Analysis

Fortinet Championship Picks

Best Outsider Picks

Player

Taylor Gooch  

  • 9th SG Approach over the past 24 rounds
  • 11th SG around the green over the past 24 rounds
  • 25th in Par5 Scoring over the past 24 rounds
  • 11th in Proximity to the hole from 100-125 yard, this yardage will be popular this week the players facing 6 short par 4s
  • His best putting stats come on the Poa Annua putting surface
  • This price will not last take it now
Odds +7500
Sportsbook

Best Outright Picks

Player

Marc Leishman  

  • His stats are not great right now put don’t let that put you off with Leishman.
  • He followed a missed cut with a 5th at the Masters, followed a 64th place finish with a 3rd at the Travelers
  • 3rd Last Year at this event
  • His price is way to big for a player of his calibre in this field.
Odds +5000
Sportsbook

Player

Charley Hoffman  

  • 8th in Par 4 scoring over 400-450 yards
  • 7th Proximity to the hole from 100-125 yards, a key distance this week on tour
  • 14th in to the hole from 125-150 yards, his short irons are really dialled in right now
  • Gained strokes putting in each of his last 5 events
Odds +4500
Sportsbook

Player

Harold Varner 

  • 3 top 20’s in his last 5 events show a return to form
  • Putting is his weakness, however he is gaining strokes in 5 of his last 6 events with the flat stick
  • Gaining over ½ a stoke per round on approach play and sits 7th in approach play over the past 24 rounds
Odds +4000
Sportsbook

Fortinet Championship Betting Strategies & Previews

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Fortinet Championship Picks

Player

Maverick McNealy

  • 7th in my overall model for the week, another who was close to an outright pick. More than happy to play him in the Top 20 market
  • 7th in Strokes Gained approach over the last 36 rounds
  • 16th T2G over the past 36 rounds
  • Has form on the west coast, he is sure to go well this week.
Odds +225
Sportsbook

Fortinet Championship Betting Analysis

Fortinet Championship Betting Strategies & Previews

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Fortinet Championship Betting Analysis

3 Ball Picks

Player

John Rham to beat Max Homa and Si Woo Kim

Odds -125
Sportsbook

Player

Kevin Tway to beat Cam Champ and Phil Mickleson

Odds +275
Sportsbook

Player

Maverick McNealy to beat Brandon Steel and Kiradech Aphibarnrat

Odds +150
Sportsbook

Player

Doug Ghim to beat Cameron Tringale and Hank Lebioda

Odds +195
Sportsbook

Fortinet Championship Picks

Fortinet Championship Betting Strategies & Previews

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Fortinet Championship Picks

2 Ball Picks

Player

Maverick McNealy to beat Beau Hossler

Odds -147
Sportsbook

Player

Russell Knox to beat Tom Hodge

Odds +118
Sportsbook

Player

Patrick Rodgers to beat Mark Hubbard

Odds -115
Sportsbook

Fortinet Championship Betting Analysis

Fortinet Championship Betting Strategies & Previews

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Fortinet Championship Picks

2 Ball Picks

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Fortinet Championship Betting Analysis

Fortinet Championship Betting Strategies & Previews

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