The 3M Open is this week’s stop on the PGA Tour after Collin Morikawa captured his second major championship at the Open Championship at Royal St. George’s and Seamus Power won his first Tour title at the Barbasol Championship at Keene Trace in Kentucky on the sixth playoff hole over J.T. Poston. TPC Twin Cities, located about 15 miles north of the Minneapolis/St. Paul area plays host to the 3M Open and plays to a par 71 at 7,413 yards.
The defending champion is Michael Thompson, a two shot winner over Adam Long in 2020 after shooting an opening round 64. The tournament is the last one before the Olympic break and the Tour will resume with two events August 5 – 8 before the last regular season tournament takes place the following week.
There are 500 FedEx Cup points up for grabs in the 3M Championship as players try to get into the top 125 in the standings to make it into the playoffs and have a chance at playing in the season ending Tour Championship. Despite taking place the week following the final major championship of the season, the tournament has attracted a good field, including Dustin Johnson, Louis Oosthuizen, Tony Finau, Patrick Reed, Brian Harman, Sergio Garcia, Matthew Wolff, and Bubba Watson.
At +5500 odds to win, Patton Kizzire could be a sleeper pick for this week’s 3M Open.
As expected, Dustin Johnson is the betting favorite at +750 after dropping a spot in the Official World Golf Rankings (OWGR) to second place behind Jon Rahm, followed by Louis Oosthuizen who is looking to rebound after another near miss in a major championship after leading the Open Championship heading into the final round. Tony Finau and former Masters Tournament champion Patrick Reed are next at +1400, with Brian Harman rounding out the top five at +2000.
Cameron Tringale comes in with odds of +2500, just ahead of Sergio Garcia and Emiliano Grillo at +2800. The 2019 3M winner Matthew Wolff is at +3000 and Keegan Bradley along with Robert McIntyre has odds of +3300.
Underdog Betting Picks at TPC Twin Cities
After a final round 64 and a sixth place tie in the Rocket Mortgage Classic gave Bubba Watson some momentum going into the Open Championship, he had to withdraw from the major tournament due to Covid-19 protocols. He hasn’t won since 2018, but his play of late has shown signs that he might be ready to get back into the winner’s circle and he has odds of +3500 this week.
Patton Kizzire at +5500 is another player who hasn’t won since 2018, but he has five top-ten finishes on the season and tied for 11th in his last start in the John Deere Classic after closing with a 65. He missed three cuts in June after a pair of third place ties in the AT&T Byron Nelson and the Charles Schwab Challenge.
South African Dylan Frittelli seemed to find something in his game last week, finishing in fifth place at the Open Championship following seven missed cuts in his prior eight tournaments. At odds of +6000, he could provide a nice payoff if he can use his performance at Royal St. George’s to take his game to the next level and pick up his second Tour victory.