The Arnold Palmer Invitational is found every year at the famous Bay Hill golf course. This difficult course has the potential to scare amateurs but also provide a challenge to the best in the game.
Whether you are a favorite to win or underdog, the chances of winning will play in your favor if you can accurately hit off the tee and make putts. Below you can see which underdogs might have a better shot at winning and which might surprise in the field.
Date: Mar 3–6, 2022
Course: Bay Hill Golf Course
Watch on: GOLF, NBC
Top Betting Underdogs at Play
The field at this event is indeed stronger than the Honda Classic, but even the underdogs make it more challenging to see who can win. As shown in the Honda Classic, all you need is four consecutive playing days that are great no matter if you are an unranked golfer or not.
The market has these following golfers just outside the top 10 to win this event, courtesy of DraftKings.
Marc Leishman +3500
Paul Casey +4000
Sam Burns +4000
Jason Kokrak +4500
Keith Mitchell +4500
Max Homa +4500
Billy Horschel +5000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +5000
Russell Henley +5000
Seamus Power +5000
*odds subject to changes
Jason Day (+6500) won this event back in 2016 and has landed in the top 25 in his last five tries here. His recent results show that he barely missed a playoff at Torrey Pines and that he has some solid momentum heading into this one.
Patrick Reed (+15000) has some interesting odds placed on him. Even though he has not played exceptional golf lately, he has a T15 finish in 2020 and a T7 back in 2018. With that in mind, these odds might not hurt to throw some money his way since he has played decently here.
Max Homa is the 36th best golfer in the world and has some solid momentum coming into this one. He recently put up a T15 finish at the Tournament of Champions and a T10 performance at the Genesis Open, which had a loaded field.
Most Likely Underdogs to Succeed
Keith Mitchell is in a perfect spot to succeed at this event. Previously, he has two top-six finishes over the last three years here.
Mitchell recently put up another top 10 finish last week at the Honda Classic, making it three straight top 12 finishes on Tour. In addition, he is ranked seventh in strokes gained for this event compared to the field. His confidence and ability to make adjustments as needed is exactly what could help him win this event.
Christiaan Bezuidenhout is another name that can surprise many if he wins this event. Currently, the 58th best golfer in the world, Bezuidenhout’s best recent performance was a T14 back in February at the AT&T Pebble Beach. However, he is ranked fourth in strokes gained at this event compared to the field and can definitely take over.