Can underdogs go back-to-back as the Fall leg of the PGA Tour is back stateside at the Cadence Bank Houston Open?
Last weekend in Mexico, Russell Henley picked up the win at +5000 even though he hadn’t won since 2017, had an MC and a 45th place finish in two events this season, and had two missed cuts and a 56th place finish in his last three trips to El Camaleón Mayakoba Golf Course.
Sometimes there are no stats, trends, or predictive metrics that point to a winner, as Henley was simply a name-out-of-a-hat play for those who had him last week. We’ve got a very similar field talent-wise to last week, with Scottie Scheffler and Tony Finau up near the top of the odds sheet once again.
Let’s see if it’s an underdog that once again takes home the cake in Cadence Bank Houston Open betting.
Russell Henley +2500
It’s somewhat taboo to go back to the well after a player wins the week prior, but Henley was zoned in last week at Mayakoba, where he tied the tournament record at -23.
Henley had a six-stroke lead after 54 holes, had just two bogeys all weekend, both of which came on Sunday, and fended off a final round 62 from Scheffler to pick up the win.
Henley finished a decent seventh place here last season and 29th in 2020, so he’s shown improvement in his last two trips to Memorial Golf Course.
He’s also a past winner of this event taking home the 2017 Shell Houston Open, but that was held at a different course, the Golf Club of Houston.
Joel Dahmen +4500
There’s incredible value on Joel Dahmen this week in Houston. He’s played well on the Fall tour, just coming in third at Mayakoba, where he shot all four rounds 68 or lower.
He was also 16th at the ZOZO Championship and 13th at the Sanderson Farms Championship while also going T5 at the 2021 Houston Open, leading the field with an 82.7% driving accuracy.
Adam Long +10000
Adam Long is worth a look at a small play for a big return considering he’s finished 11th here in each of the last two seasons, and many names that were ahead of him aren’t playing due to going to the LIV.
What you like about Long’s play here last season was that he stayed out of trouble, leading the field with just four bogeys all weekend. His best finish in the Fall has been a 30th at the Sanderson Farms Championship, but that’s how you get +10000 odds.
Cameron Champ +10000
Champ wants to join that elite group of Camerons, including Smith, Young, and James (Titanic), and he’s got just as good a chance as anybody to get the win in Houston as one of the better long iron players in the field.
Memorial Golf Course has three par 5’s, a couple long par 3’s, and even five par 4’s that are nearly 500 yards long, so getting on the green early gives some leeway with the putter. It also doesn’t hurt that Champ is a Texas A&M grad playing back in Texas.
