The Mexico Open at Vidanta is potentially a make-or-break event for some golfers. With no prior history and no one in the field having experience here, it makes for an unknown few days ahead.
The heaviest odds are for Jon Rahm, as he is the only top 10 ranked golfer competing. Other golfers barely crack the top 20, and the rest are few and far between. Below you can see which golfer makes the best choice to win this event.
Date: Apr 28–May 1, 2022
Course: Vidanta Vallarta
Watch on: GOLF, CBS
Updated Odds to Win Mexico Open
With so many top players skipping this event, the market has heavily put their faith in Rahm. The others listed have the best opportunity, too, assuming you count their previous success and rankings.
Below are the top 10 golfers with the best odds to win. DraftKings has provided the following:
Jon Rahm +350
Cameron Tringale +2000
Gary Woodland +2000
Kevin Na +2000
Abraham Ancer +2000
Tony Finau +2500
Sebastian Munoz +2500
Aaron Wise +3000
Patrick Reed +3500
Chris Kirk +3500
*odds could change at any time
Potential Winning Picks for the 2022 Mexico Open
Jon Rahm will be interesting to see in this event since he has not played anywhere near his usual form. He last played at the Masters, which he tied for 27th. The former number one golfer in the world will need to bring back his golfing game if he wants to stand out here.
You could argue that he is on the edge of getting back on track. He still ranks sixth in total strokes gained and first overall for strokes gained off the tee. If he has fixed his putter issues, this one is a wrap.
Chris Kirk is another name to consider with how well he has been playing lately. With somewhat quiet performances, he has a top 10 finish at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in addition to five top 25 finishes on the year.
Heading into this event, he ranks 21st in total strokes gained and is also ninth for strokes gained tee to green. His iron play should translate well here, despite not being the hardest hitter off of the tee.
Best Choice for the 2022 Mexico Open
Aaron Wise has a handful of days that could help him be the first to win here on the PGA Tour. His birdie percentage ranks at 58th on Tour and is 40th overall in strokes gained.
In addition, he ranks sixth for Par 3 scoring and sits at 24th for best tee to green strokes gained per round. You could argue that since this is a relatively weaker field, his stats are going to rank much higher here than usual.
Coming into this event, he has two finishes out of four that fell between the top 10 and 21. He has excellent momentum and great value.