Four great players, Justin Thomas, Brooks Koepka (twice), and Collin Morikawa, have won the PGA Championship on alternating courses in the last five seasons.
Last year, at the age of 50, Phil Mickelson won a surprising victory at Kiawah Island to win his second championship at the tournament.
Tiger Woods won the PGA Championship at Southern Hills in Tulsa, Oklahoma, the final time it was contested there in 2007.
Below are the betting odds for the prior five winners:
- Phil Michelson in 2021 (250-1)
- Collin Morikawa in 2020 (30-1)
- Brooks Koepka in 2019 (10-1)
- Brooks Koepka in 2018 (18-1)
- Justin Thomas in 2017 (35-1)
Scottie Scheffler (+1100)
Since the beginning of February, Scheffler has been the hottest golfer. In his previous eight races, he has four victories and one top-10 result (seventh). Scheffler improved his game even further with triumphs in the WGC–Dell Technologies and the Masters, after wins at the Waste Management and Arnold Palmer Invitationals.
He has shot 160 under par in 56 stroke-play rounds since the middle of October. Scheffler tied for fourth place with a -10 in his debut PGA Championship in 2020. In 2022, he is in great shape, and his game has advanced to an elite level, making him the man to beat in the PGA Championship.
Jon Rahm (+1200)
Rahm trails Scheffler by a hair but has the greatest betting odds. With four scores in the 60s, he won his first tournament of the season in late April at the Mexico Championship (64, 66, 68, and 69).
However, Rahm finished 21st, 17th, 55th, ninth, and 27th in his last five competitions while finishing one over par in his 16 stroke-play rounds. He has one missed cut and two top tens in five PGA Championship appearances (fourth and eighth).
Rahm is a great golfer, but at this stage in the season, his game isn’t on par with Scottie Scheffler’s.
Rory McIlroy (+1400)
Since the Ryder Cup, McIlroy has competed in 11 competitions, winning one and placing in four others (sixth, third, second, and fifth). Despite finishing second at the Masters and sixth at the Wells Fargo Championship, he has shot 72 or higher in 11 of his past 18 rounds.
McIlroy won twice (in 2012 and 2014) and finished in the top ten in six PGA Championship tournaments. His last significant victory was more than seven years ago. McIlroy has the talent to win, but he lacks the fire with his putting on far too many holes to win against the best in the world.
Collin Morikawa (+1800)
Morikawa had a strong autumn season, winning the DP World Tour Championship and finishing in the top 10 in three additional events (seventh, fifth, and fifth) while shooting 60 under par over 16 rounds.
He finished in the top ten four times in ten events in 2022. (fifth, second, ninth, and fifth). In addition, in his only two PGA Championships, Morikawa had a victory and an eighth-place finish. His sole flaw is that he hasn’t competed in a tournament since April 3rd.