Gingerbets Insights & Picks

2022 AT&T Byron Nelson

Course & Location:
TPC Craig Ranch, McKinney, TX
Dates:
12 - 15 May 2022
Purse:
$8.1 Million
Par:
72 / Yardage 7,468
Fairways:
Zoysiagrass
Greens:
Bentgrass

At & T Byron Nelson 2022 Overview

 

TPC Craig Ranch located in McKinney on the north-east fringes of Dallas, Texas, it’s a 7,468 yard, Par 72 set-up with the standard split of 4 par-3s and 4-par-5s. If last year is anything to go by then we are in for a super low scoring event ahead of the second major championship of the year.

 

TPC Craig Ranch is designed by former PGA TOUR player and architect Tom Weiskopf, opened in 2004 and has hosted the Nationwide Tour Championship in 2008 and the Web.com Tour Championship in 2012, with the winning score of 16-under par. Current PGA TOUR pros James Hahn (2nd), Adam Hadwin (T3), Russell Henley (T6), and Luke List (T13) all competed in the 2012 event. Last year it’s hosted the Byron Nelson for the first time in what was a true birdie fest with KH Lee winning on a score of 25 under par. Jordan Speith shot 9 user par on day 1, so expect plenty more low scoring this week. Not the best prep for a major championship in my eyes. Despite the test ahead, plenty of the worlds best have chosen To tee it up here including DJ, JT, Jordan, Xander to name just a few.

 

TPC Craig Ranch features gently rolling hills and mature woods surrounding the limestone banks of Rowlett Creek, which runs 14 times through the course. The fairways and greens on the golf course are lush Zoysia.

Easy to hit fairways, receptive greens and no real punishment for missing the green, all in all it’s not a course to get overly excited about. Craig Ranch’s front nine is where you can make some serious birdies. The first, third, and sixth holes are all par-4s that are 430 yards or less. With 570 yard 5th and 564 yard 8th par-5s, these Bentgrass greens are ripe for birdies. The back nine features a driveable par-4 at the 14th, a short 147-yard par-3 at the 17th, and two simple par-5s at 547 yards 12th and 552 yards 15th. The other holes, on the other hand, are slightly more challenging but let’s remember this is a resort course and none of the 18 holes facing the players will give cause to sleepless nights. I expect we could see a 10 under par round this week.

 

With that said I am still determined to find the winner,  and have broken down what I believe will be the key skill sets required to lift the trophy come Sunday night.

 

 

Key Skills Set Required

    1. SG T2G – The formula is quite simple this week, dominate from T2G and your going to be right in the mix come the back nine on Sunday. Only 2 of the top 15 players last year ranked in the top 10 for putting so this is more a tee to green test than a putting contest.
    2. SG Approach– 6 of the final top 10 finished in the top 10 for approach play across the week. Simply put, your going to have to hit your irons close time and time again this week to stand any chances of lifting the trophy come Sunday evening. This is essentially a resort course and the player are able to take dead aim at the pins from both the fairways.
    3. GIR gained – Only one player in the final top 10 last year finished outside the top 10 in GIR gained on the week. The other 9 players ranked in the top 10 for GIR gained. Now I can’t see it being that pronounced this year but hitting a high percentage of GIR is by default providing plenty of birdie looks and that what all player will require this week.
    4. Birdies or Better % – A super low scoring affair is expected this week at TPC Craig Ranch, certainly if last year is anything to go by. So we clearly have to,pay attention to players making plenty of birdies over the past 24/36 rounds on tour. We are going to need on average 6/7 birdies per round to win this event so players who are steady and consistent might be easy to pass over this week in favour of those more aggressive golfers.
    5. SG Putting – Not the most important factor this week but in low scoring contests it pays to have putter who are confident in their stroke onside. When narrowing down the final portfolio it should pay dividends to favour those with positive putting performance over recent weeks, and those that excel on the Bentgrass putting surfaces we face this week.

2022 AT&T Byron Nelson Videos

2022 AT&T Byron Nelson Picks

Best Outsider Pick

Aaron Wise
  • Hitting GIR has been a key to success her at TPC Craig Ranch and wise is 2nd in this field over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Ranked 8th in SG Approach play over the past 24 rounds on tour, should he continue to excel in this stats he’s bound to outrun his odds
  • Ranked 7th SG T2G over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • If the flat stick behaves this week his should have an outstanding chance.
Odds 50/1 +5000
Sportsbook

Best Outright Pick

Justin Thomas
  • Only Morikawa in the world game tops JT when it come to Iron play. This week is all about low scoring and despite a major round the corner I expect JT to shoot 9/10 under one day this week.
  • Less pressure off the tee box should allow JT to relax and strut his stuff by attacking all 18 pins each day.
  • Ranked 2nd in approach play over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Ranked 2nd SG Total over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Ranked 10th in Birdies made – the man to beat for me this week.
Odds 12/1 +1200
Sportsbook

Top 20 Picks

Brian Harman
  • 2 Top 10’s in a row heading into this event
  • Ranked 2nd in Par 4 scoring over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Ranked 10th in SG Total over the past 24 rounds on tour shows the comfort in his game right now.
  • A consistent putter across all surfaces including the Bentgrass the players face this week.
  • An ideal chance to win, where many will have an eye on next week Harman will be hungry this week in my view.
  •  
Odds TBC
Sportsbook

First Round Leader Picks

Players
 Aaron Wise
Odds 50/1 +5000
Sportsbook

Players
 Maverick McNealy
Odds 55/1 +5500
Sportsbook

2022 AT&T Byron Nelson Betting Strategies & Previews

News Articles Coming Soon

2022 AT&T Byron Nelson Betting Analysis

2022 AT&T Byron Nelson Picks

Best Outsider Picks

Aaron Wise
  • Hitting GIR has been a key to success her at TPC Craig Ranch and wise is 2nd in this field over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Ranked 8th in SG Approach play over the past 24 rounds on tour, should he continue to excel in this stats he’s bound to outrun his odds
  • Ranked 7th SG T2G over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • If the flat stick behaves this week his should have an outstanding chance.
Odds 50/1 +5000
Sportsbook

Mackenzie Hughes
  • A strong hint that he is returning to form last week on a thought track he ranked in the Top 10mfor approach play.
  • Putts his best on thie Bentgrass surfaces he faces this week.
  • Ranked 4th in GIR gained last week, a strong indication his iron game is warming up.
  • His temperament interests me. With a major just around the corner I believe he unlike some other will be firmly focused on keeping the momentum in his game rather than looking ahead. To big a price for me.
Odds 100/1 +10000
Sportsbook

Lanto Griffen
  • 3 top 20’s in a row , 2 of those top 10’s
  • Gaining stroke with his approach play in each of his last 3 events
  • An attacking golfer who will be suited by the resort course on offer this week
  • 2nd in GIR gained last week on a super challenging track, if he can bring this momentum he can outrun his odds.
Odds 66/1 +6600
Sportsbook

Best Outright Pick

Justin Thomas
  • Only Morikawa in the world game tops JT when it come to Iron play. This week is all about low scoring and despite a major round the corner I expect JT to shoot 9/10 under one day this week.
  • Less pressure off the tee box should allow JT to relax and strut his stuff by attacking all 18 pins each day.
  • Ranked 2nd in approach play over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Ranked 2nd SG Total over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Ranked 10th in Birdies made – the man to beat for me this week.
Odds 12/1 +1200
Sportsbook

Mito Pereria
  • Only out if the top 30 in 1 of his last 6 events, a slightly more positive putter will see his challenge the top of the leaderboard.
  • Gained stroke with his approach play in 6 of his last 7 events
  • Ranked 6th for GIR gained over the past 24 rounds on tour, a key stat this week.
  • Ranked 5th in par 4 scoring over the past 24 rounds on tour, lots to like about a player who 12 months ago was on everyone’s lips.
Odds 66/1 +6600
Sportsbook

Alex Noren
  • Going low is Noren’s thing and this type of birdie test will be up his street.
  • Ranked 7th SG Approach play over the past 24 rounds on tour, approach play is key this week.
  • Ranked 6th SG Total over the past 24 rounds on tour, shows his game is in a solid place right now.
  • Ranked 8th Par 4 scoring over the past 24 rounds on the PGA Tour.
Odds 66/1 +6600
Sportsbook

Tommy Fleetwood
  • Tommy has had a tough run recently but 4 top 20’s in a row give hope ahead of this week.
  • Gained strokes with his trademark approach play in each of his last 3 events.
  • The flat stick is on fire gaining 2 strokes per round over the field at the RBC & 1 stroke per round at the Valspar.
  • Still seeking his first PGA Tour victory, under the radar this week could suit him.
Odds 40/1 +4000
Sportsbook

2022 AT&T Byron Nelson Betting Strategies & Previews

No data was found

2022 AT&T Byron Nelson Picks

Best Top 20 Picks

Aaron Wise
  • Hitting GIR has been a key to success her at TPC Craig Ranch and wise is 2nd in this field over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Ranked 8th in SG Approach play over the past 24 rounds on tour, should he continue to excel in this stats he’s bound to outrun his odds
  • Ranked 7th SG T2G over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • If the flat stick behaves this week his should have an outstanding chance.
Odds +230
Sportsbook

Alex Noren
  • Ranked 6th SG Total over the past 24 rounds on tour, shows his game is in a solid place right now.
  • Ranked 7th SG Approach play over the past 24 rounds on tour, approach play is key this week.
  • Ranked 8th Par 4 scoring over the past 24 rounds on the PGA Tour.
  • Going low is Noren’s thing and this type of birdie test will be up his street.
Odds +275
Sportsbook

2022 AT&T Byron Nelson Betting Analysis

2022 AT&T Byron Nelson Betting Strategies & Previews

No data was found

2022 AT&T Byron Nelson Betting Analysis

Day 1 – 3 Balls

Players

Kieth Mitchell to beat Power & Tway

Odds 6/4 +150
Sportsbook

Players

Mackenzie Hughes to beat Matsuyama & Day

Odds 5/2 +250
Sportsbook

Players

Matthias Schwab to beat Riley & Garnett

Odds 7/4 +175
Sportsbook

2022 AT&T Byron Nelson Picks

2022 AT&T Byron Nelson Betting Strategies & Previews

No data was found

2022 AT&T Byron Nelson Picks

Half Way – 3 Ball Picks

Players

Jason Kokrak to beat Speith & K H Lee

Odds 9/5 +180
Sportsbook

Players

Alex Noren to Beat Pereria & Spaun

Odds 6/4 +150
Sportsbook

Players

Carlos Ortiz to beat Kuchar & Lipskey

Odds 2/1 +200
Sportsbook

2022 AT&T Byron Nelson Betting Analysis

2022 AT&T Byron Nelson Betting Strategies & Previews

No data was found

2022 AT&T Byron Nelson Picks

Final Day 3 Balls

Players

Coming Soon

Odds +N/A
Sportsbook

Players

Coming Soon

Odds N/A
Sportsbook

2022 AT&T Byron Nelson Betting Analysis

2022 AT&T Byron Nelson Betting Strategies & Previews

No data was found

Past Tournaments

Sportsbooks

Sportsbook
Bonus
Visit
RISK FREE FIRST BET UP TO $1000
SIGNUP AND GET A $1000 RISK-FREE FIRST BET
SIGNUP AND GET 2 RISK-FREE BETS UP TO $2,000
GET UP TO $1,100 IN FIRST BET INSURANCE