Gingerbets Insights & Picks

3M Open 2022

Course & Location:

TPC Twin Cities, Blaine, MN

Dates:

21 - 24 July 2022

Purse:

$6.6 Million

Par:

71 / Yardage 7,431

Fairways:

Bentgrass with Bluegrass

Greens:

Bentgrass

3M Open 2022 Videos

3M Open 2022 Picks

Best Underdog Pick

Wyndham Clarke
  • 4 top 20 finishes in his last 7 starts worldwide.
  • Ranked 5th in Par 4 scoring over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Ranked 19th SG Total over the past 24 rounds showing his game is in good shape.
  • Gained strokes putting in each of his last 6 events, putting is the key skill set required this week in my view.
Odds 50/1 +5000

Best Favorite Pick

Brendon Steele
  • Arrives in good form with 2 top 10 finishes in his last 3 starts
  • Driving the ball as good as anyone in this field, Ranked 1st SG Off The Tee.
  • Ranked 1st in SG Approach play over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • The only negative is his putting however I’m willing to forgive this in the hope the bl stroking continues and if he can break even on the putting greens he has to have an outstanding chance
Odds 35/1 +3500

Best Top 20 Pick

Mark Hubbard
  • 2 top 10’s in his last 2 events, the field isn’t much stronger this week.
  • Gained strokes putting in each of his last 7 events, putting a huge factor this week, he also putts best on Bentgrass greens players face this week.
  • Ranked 1st in SG Approach play over the past 24 rounds on tour
  • Ranked 10th in PAR 4 scoring over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Solid form coming in and hitting his irons better than anyone in the field.
Odds TBC

First Round Leader Picks

Brendon Steele
Odds 50/1 + 5000

James Hahn
Odds 100/1 +10000

Adam Svensson
Odds 50/1 +5000

3M Open 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Adam Svensson Betting Tips & Odds to Win The 2022 3M Open – July 21-24
07/19/2022
Brendan Steele Betting Tips & Odds to Win The 2022 3M Open – July 21-24
07/19/2022
Wyndham Clark Betting Tips & Odds to Win The 2022 3M Open – July 21-24
07/19/2022

Fantasy Golf Players

One & Done – Best Outright

Brendon Steele
  • Arrives in good form with 2 top 10 finishes in his last 3 starts.
  • Driving the ball as good as anyone in this field, Ranked 1st SG Off The Tee.
  • Ranked 1st in SG Approach play over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • The only negative is his putting however I’m willing to forgive this in the hope the bl stroking continues and if he can break even on the putting greens he has to have an outstanding chance.
$10,000  

Salary Cap is $11k to $12k

Best Plays

Adam Hadwin

Maverick McNealy

$11,700

$11,300

Best Fades

Sunjae Im

Cam Tringale

$11,500

$11,100

Salary Cap is $9k to $11k

Best Plays

Cam Davis

Brendon Steele

Adam Svensson

$10,900

$10,000

$9,700

Best Fades

Lanto Griffen

Emiliano Grilliano

Tom Hoge

$9,400

$9,800

$9,100

Sub $9k

Sleepers

Michael Thompson

Ryan Amour

$8,700

$8,400

Hidden Gems

Value Plays

Chase Seiffert

Joseph Bramlett

James Hahn

$7,900

$8,400

$8,300

3M Open 2022 Overview

 

All eyes return to the PGA Tour this week following The Open Championship last week in Scotland on the glorious St Andrews links. A 28/1 winner here pays the same as one at St Andrew’s so let’s hope we continue the momentum to the lesser established event in Minnesota.

 

Despite the field quality drop this week, we should still see some very exciting golf with lots of risk-reward par 4’s and birdies aplenty.

 

In 2000, the TPC Twin Cities debuted. In 2018, the Arnold Palmer layout underwent renovations that included relocating tee complexes, enlarging fairways, and adding 72 more bunkers. On the course, there are 27 water hazards, with 10 of them being playable from the tee. The water won’t scare these players though, they will be thinking about one thing when they stand on the tee box and that’s “make birdies”.

 

One of the easiest courses to drive is TPC Twin Cities, and in the inaugural competition, the average distance was well over 300 yards with an average fairways hit percentage of 65% which is high by PGA Tour standards. If players do miss these miss wide-open fairways, the course rating is among the ten hardest on the TOUR for hitting greens from the rough. Playing from the fairways will open up plenty of enticing looks at the pin, we can expect players to go low this week.

 

This week’s field has three OWGR top-25 players in Hideki Matsuyama, Tony Finau, and Sungjae Im. Each of these three players has had early success with a top-15 finish here. So we may assume they’ve agreed to compete because they view this as an opportunity to add another PGA TOUR triumph to their careers.

Let’s see if we can rack up an incredible and almost impossible 4 outright winners in a row, here is to trying

 

 

Key Skill Sets Required

    1. SG Off The Tee – Accuracy is important here at TPC Twin Cities, however, most important is to gain strokes off the tee in general. Combining length and accuracy here will set up a plethora of birdie opportunities, which will be required to have any chance of lifting the trophy on Sunday evening.
    2. Driving Accuracy – TPC courses in general are friendly off the tee for the world’s best players. Hitting fairways here at TPC Twin Cities is of paramount importance, this is one of the hardest courses on tour for approach play from the rough.
    3. Par 4 Scoring – In low-scoring affairs like we can expect this week, players have to dominate the Par 4 holes, especially the short par 4 that are 350-400 yards in length. Some of these are drivable much like with saw at the Open Championship last week. Performance on these risk-reward holes will have a huge say on who lifts that trophy Sunday evening.
    4. Birdies or Better – Players are required to make a birdie 1 in 3 holes this week, without hitting 6/7 birdies a round, players have little chance of success come the back nine on Sunday.
    5. SG Putting – We have had 3 renewals of the 3M Open here at TPC Twin Cities and in 2 of those the Winner has ranked 1st in SG putting on the week. Without a doubt & putting is the most important factor this week. If players don’t rank in the top 10 for SG Putting, it’s highly unlikely they will be lifting the trophy on Sunday evening.

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