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Arnold Palmer Invitational 2022

Course & Location:
Bay Hill Club & Lodge, Orlando, FL
Dates:
3 - 6 March 2022
Purse:
$9.3 Million
Par:
72 / Yardage 7,454
Fairways:
Bermudagrass
Greens:
Bermudagrass

Arnold Palmer Invitational 2022 Overview

 

The PGA Tour makes its way to Bay Hill Club and Lodge just southwest of Orlando this week. The Arnold Palmer Invitational, otherwise known as the Tiger Woods Invitational.

 

Arnold Palmer’s development of Bay Hill and relocation to the area not only transformed Central Florida into a recreation destination prior to the opening of Disney World in 1971, but also transformed the entire state of Florida into a golfing mecca. Mr. Palmer purchased the course in 1975, and the course has hosted a PGA Tour event every year since 1979. Players often talk about  about this event having a major feel to it. There is special feel to this event at Arnold’s place, this is one trophy outside the 4 majors that every player wants in their cabinet.

 

Bay Hill was given a makeover in 2015. The fairways have been widened and the number of trees have been reduced, making driving here much easier than at the other Florida Swing stops at PGA National and Copperhead. Driving Distance is now a key factor here which could go way to explaining the success of Bryson and Rory in recent times, two of the biggest hitters on the PGA Tour. Generous fairways encourage golfers to use their driver frequently, but missing fairways creates some issues, with Bay Hill ranking as one of the most difficult courses to get the ball close to the hole from the rough so player will need to compete brute strength with finesse off the tee .

 

The 7,454-yard, Par 72 course features a number of difficult par-4s, as well as three par-5s that are over 550 yards long but it’s Par 3’s that stand out, they are the longest of all stops on the pga tour circuit playing 199- 235yards in length. There will be high majority of shot from 200 yards plus this week. The worlds best long iron players will be licking their lips, Bay Hill provides the opportunity for them to show their ball striking prowess.

 

Bay Hill was the first golf course in the world to be planted with Tifway bermudagrass. The greens were re-grassed in 2015 and are larger than average, with greens averaging 7,500 square feet according to the tournament fact sheet. The putting surfaces are smooth and undulating. There are 84 sand bunkers to avoid, and water plays a role on nine of the holes.

 

We have seen winning scores of 4under all the way to 18under par in the last 6 years, the whether can play a huge factor in determining the score her at Bay Hill. I expect fast and firm condition this week with a winning score in the low teens.

 

A great week ahead with a much improved field from last year this is an event fans, player and pundits look forward to , I can’t wait for the action Thursday. A confident portfolio to attack this weeks action with can be found below.

 

 

5 Key Skills Set Required

  1. SG T2G – When we arrive on these Florida courses T2G performance is the foundation players require to tackle them. The courses are much more demanding off the tee box and in approach play than the west coast events. Look for players who excel with their ball striking and have the ability to flight the ball at different trajectories both ways with there irons.
  2. Proximity from 200+ yards – It is expected players will face 30% off all shots this week from over 200+ yards this is significantly higher than a standard PGA tour event. We have 4 par 3’s measuring 199-235yards and then 5 – par 4’s from 450-500 yards. Look for players who are consistent with their long irons and this will dictate there fate come Sunday evening.
  3. GIR gained – Hitting greens here is harder than the average PGA tour venue. Hitting a high percentage of greens will take pressure of other parts of the game, and in these harder events this is key. Stress free pars are vital to building solid rounds. Not the biggest greens on tour, players who hit a high majority will by default give themselves plenty of birdies looks and that’s the recipe for success at the Arnold Palmer Invitational.
  4. Par 3 Scoring – Some of the toughest Par 3’s on the PGA Tour circuit face the players this week. This week the the Par 3’s are the longest of any the players face all year round. 199yards is the shortest of the four par 3’s  on show, the second hole can play 235yards. We want to pay particular attention to player who strike there long irons well, this is not only relevant for the par 3’s but the long approaches that face the players throughout the week.
  5. Par 5 Scoring – There is four par 5’s in play this week and the successful player come Sunday evening will have certainly dominated these. When looking at the historical data it’s apparent the players must take advantage of these scoring opportunities. They can be few are far between on these Florida course especially here at the Arnold Palmer Invitational.4 of the easiest 6 holes her at Bay Hill are the par 5’s.
  6. SG Putting Bermudagrass – Having spent the majority of this year playing on the west coast, players now return to Florida swing where the Bermudagrass greens are what face the players. Although the Florida course place more emphasis on T2G and Iron play , it’s important to consider those who excel on the Bermudagrass.

Arnold Palmer Invitational 2022 Videos

Arnold Palmer Invitational 2022 Picks

Best Outsider Pick

Lanto Griffen
  • 8 cuts in a row show the consistency in his game right now
  • Top 20 in Par 5 scoring and SG approach over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Top 20 in Birdies made over the past 24 rounds a key factor on this tough track
  • He statically putts best on Bermudagrass surfaces he faces this week.
Odds 80/1
Sportsbook

Best Outright Pick

Will Zalatoris
  • 10th here on debut last year.
  • One of the best T2G players over the past 12 month on the PGA Tour.
  • 1st SG Approach over the past 24 rounds, which is vital on this Arnold Palmer layout.
  • 2nd GIR gained which is a key statistic here this week.
  • 5th Proximity to the hole from 200+ yards which will be of advantage on the long par 3’s and demanding par 4’s
  • 7th in Bogey Avoidance a vital factor on these Florida courses.
Odds 28/1
Sportsbook

First Round Leader

Coming Soon
 
Odds N/A
Sportsbook

Arnold Palmer Invitational 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

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Arnold Palmer Invitational 2022 Betting Analysis

Arnold Palmer Invitational 2022 Picks

Best Outsider Pick

Lanto Griffen
  • 8 cuts in a row show the consistency in his game right now
  • Top 20 in Par 5 scoring and SG approach over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Top 20 in Birdies made over the past 24 rounds a key factor on this tough track
  • He statically putts best on Bermudagrass surfaces he faces this week.
Odds 80/1
Sportsbook

Corey Conners
  • Best placed 3rd here last year.
  • 3rd GIR gained over the past 36 rounds on tours.
  • Top 20 SG approach & Par 3 scoring from 200-225 yards.
  • If the flat stick can work Conners can compete come the back nine on Sunday.
Odds 70/1
Sportsbook

Luke List
  • Made the cut in all 4 starts here and 2 top 10s, a better player now and high on confidence with a win this year.
  • 5th SG approach play over the past 24 rounds on tour, he is in the form of his life.
  • 7th GIR gained over the past 24 rounds on tour, a key stat this week.
  • Top 15 for Par 5 scoring and Birdies made over the past 24 rounds on tour.
Odds 70/1
Sportsbook

Sebastian Munoz
  • 1st in proximity to the hole from 200 yards + , 30% of shots are from this distance this week.
  • 9th in GIR gained over the past 12 rounds on tour.
  • 10th in birdies made over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • His best putting stats is on the Bermudagrass surface he faces this week.
Odds 80/1
Sportsbook

Best Outright Pick

Will Zalatoris
  • 10th here on debut last year.
  • One of the best T2G players over the past 12 month on the PGA Tour.
  • 1st SG Approach over the past 24 rounds, which is vital on this Arnold Palmer layout.
  • 2nd GIR gained which is a key statistic here this week.
  • 5th Proximity to the hole from 200+ yards which will be of advantage on the long par 3’s and demanding par 4’s
  • 7th in Bogey Avoidance a vital factor on these Florida courses.
Odds 28/1
Sportsbook

Jason Kokrak
  • 1st in birdies made over the past 36 rounds on tour.
  • 1st In SG par 3 scoring for 200- 225 yards over the past 36 rounds on tour.
  • 7th SG approach play over the past 36 rounds on tour.
  • 15th GIR gained over the last 36 rounds on tour
Odds 40/1
Sportsbook

Marc Leishman
  • Top 20 in bogey avoidance & Scrambling
  • Top 20 in proximity to the hole from 200+ yards
  • Top 20 in birdies made over the past 36 rounds a key skill on these tough Florida courses
  • Top 20 in par 3 scoring over the 200+
  • Putts his best on Bermudagrass surfaces.
Odds 33/1
Sportsbook

Kieth Mitchell
  • 4th in scrambling over the past 50 rounds on tour.
  • 4th on Par 5 scoring over the past 50 rounds on tour.
  • 9th in birdies made over the past 50 rounds on tour, making birdies on these Florida tracks is a key ingredient for success.
  • 3rd in Par 3 scoring on holes over 200 yards , a key distance this week.
  • Putts best on Bermudagrass green he faces this week.
Odds 40/1
Sportsbook

Sung Jae Im
  • Two 3rd place finishes from just 3 starts at the API.
  • 1st in bogey avoidance over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • 2nd in Birdies made over the last 24 rounds on tour
  • 3rd in GIR gained and Proximity to the hole from 200+ yards over the past 24 rounds on tour, both key factors this week with 30% of shots coming from 200+ yards out.
  • 5th in Par 5 Scoring over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Putts bets on the Bermudagrass he is faced with this week.
Odds 30/1
Sportsbook

Arnold Palmer Invitational 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

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Arnold Palmer Invitational 2022 Picks

Best Top 20 Picks

Will Zalatoris
 

  • 10th here on debut last year.
  • One of the best T2G players over the past 12 month on the PGA Tour.
  • 1st SG Approach over the past 24 rounds, which is vital on this Arnold Palmer layout.
  • 2nd GIR gained which is a key statistic here this week.
  • 5th Proximity to the hole from 200+ yards which will be of advantage on the long par 3’s and demanding par 4’s
  • 7th in Bogey Avoidance a vital factor on these Florida course
Odds 9/5
Sportsbook

Coming Soon
 
Odds N/A
Sportsbook

Arnold Palmer Invitational 2022 Betting Analysis

Arnold Palmer Invitational 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

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Arnold Palmer Invitational 2022 Betting Analysis

Day 1 – 3 Ball Picks

Players

Patton Kizzire to beat Jason Kokrak & Brendon Todd

Odds 12/5
Sportsbook

Players

Marc Leishman to beat Tyrell Hatton & Jason Day

Odds 13/8
Sportsbook

Players

Paul Casey to beat Pat Reed & Brant Snedeker

Odds 6/5
Sportsbook

Arnold Palmer Invitational 2022 Picks

Arnold Palmer Invitational 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

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Arnold Palmer Invitational 2022 Picks

Day 3 – 3 Ball Picks

Players

Sung Jae Im to beat Si Woo Kim

Odds 19/20
Sportsbook

Players

Adam Scott to beat Graeme McDowell

Odds 3/5
Sportsbook

Players

Russell Henley to beat Lanto Griffin

Odds 19/20
Sportsbook

Arnold Palmer Invitational 2022 Betting Analysis

Arnold Palmer Invitational 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

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Arnold Palmer Invitational 2022 Picks

Final Day 2/3 Balls

Players

Marc Leishman to beat Alex Smalley

Odds 7/10
Sportsbook

Players

Russell Henley to beat Nick Watney

Odds 5/8
Sportsbook

Players

Tommy Fleetwood to beat Beau Hossler

Odds 4/5/td>
Sportsbook

Arnold Palmer Invitational 2022 Betting Analysis

Arnold Palmer Invitational 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

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