Gingerbets Insights & Picks

Farmer Insurance Open 2022

Course & Location:
Torrey Pines (North and South Courses), La Jolla, CA
Dates:
26 - 29 Jan 2022
Purse:
$7.5 Million
Par:
72 / Yardage (7,7 S & 7,2 N)
Fairways:
Kikuyu overseeded with Ryegrass
Greens:
Poa Annua (South), Bentgrass (North)

Farmer Insurance Open 2022 Overview

 

The Farmers Insurance Open is held on Torrey Pines’ South and North courses. Three rounds are played on the newly lengthened +7,700 yard South Course, with each competitor also playing 18 holes on the North Course on Thursday or Friday. The world-famous South Course, which stretches above the Pacific Ocean and is one of the longest on the PGA Tour, is a classic design. Scoring is exceptionally difficult due to penal rough, specialised Kikuyugrass fairways, and green complex designs that resist approach shots, the elite tend to ascend to the top of the scoreboard here at Torrey.

 

South

Seven of the par-4s at Torrey Pines South are over 450 yards, and all four of the par-5s are over 560 yards. Torrey South also features  Poa Annua greens, which are exclusively found on the West Coast and North East of the United States.  Both courses also have Kikuyugrass rough, which is only seen on the PGA Tour here, at Riviera, and at Chapultepec each year. Torrey South is a brute of a golf course , where length historically has been a huge advantage, despite some shorter hitter like Sneds having a tremendous record here. Players will aim to go low at the North track and hold on at the South track.

 

North

The North Course is a par 72 course that continues to favour low scoring and can be crucial in tournaments. The North Course has been through its own redesign and is playing a little longer and tougher over recent years. Despite this players must take advantage of the 18 holes they get round here, anything short of 5 under par and you can expect to lose strokes to the main protagonists. The North Course has played 2-3 strokes easier than the South Course on average. It’s critical to shoot low on your one round on the North Course, and we’ve seen players win or lose tournaments simply on that one round.

 

Patrick Reed shot an 8-under 64 on the North Course to start  in 2021. On the South Course, he went 6-under in his next three rounds. In 2019, Justin Rose started with a 9-under 63 on the North Course and won after shooting a total of 12-under on the South Course over the next three days. In 2018, Jason Day won at 10-under par after shooting an 8-under 64 on the North Course and three rounds in the 70s on the South Course.

You can’t win it on the North Course but you can certainly lose it if you don’t go low.

 

Putting

The South Course has Poa Annua greens, whereas the North Course has pure Bentgrass greens, which adds to the intricacy of this event, personally I’d pay attention to those that put tho poa Annua well as we have 54 holes on that surface.

The best event of 2022 so far is right upon us, let’s hope we can bag the winner!

 

5 Key Skills Set Required

  1. Driving Distance – One of the longest courses the players face on the PGA tour all year round and three of the four rounds take place on the world-famous Torrey Pines south course which is 7770 yards. This is a course that certainly favours driving distance and length in general, the biased isn’t as strong for the North course however the players only have 18 holes to contend with there whereas the other 54 will be on the brutal and demanding Tory Pines South.
  2. SG T2G – Quite simply, to win the Farmers Insurance Open you have to have an outstanding T2G performance on that given week. Previous winners have arrived with good current form and in addition to that a strong tee to Green performance of recent times. I certainly want to use this as the bedrock of my research this week and encourage you to do the same also. Players don’t tend to find their T2G form at an event like this on such a demanding layout.
  3. SG Approach 175+ yards – There is going to be a higher percentage of shots from over 175 yards out in approach play this week given the demanding length of the layout in front of the players. When looking at the data it’s apparent that players who have excelled from 175 yards + have had a significant better chance of lifting the trophy come Sunday evening. I don’t see it being any different this week. This is of key importance on both the long par 4’s the players face on the south course and the par 5’s across both tracks.
  4. Par 4 Scoring 450-500 – Like we have touched upon 54 holes take place on the demanding Torrey Pines south this week. This course has 4 par 4’s that fall within 450 to 500 yards in length, This really does separate the men from the boys and the cream tends to rise to the top on these demanding tracks. I’m certainly wanting to dig deeper into this range on par four score in this week.
  5. SG Putting 0-15ft – We have two different grasses to contend with this week at Torrey Pines however we are going to focus on the Poa Annua surface on which the players face 54 holes. The green complexes are notorious hard on the Torrey Pines south course and this is one of the hardest putting courses the players face all year from 0 to 15 feet. When doing my research I’m focusing on players have excelled in this area and have a liking for Poa Annua.

Farmer Insurance Open 2022 Videos

Farmer Insurance Open 2022 Picks

Best Outsiders

Pat Rodgers
  • 2 top 10 finishes from 5 goes at the event.
  • Sits in the top 20 for my model this week and outside the top 50 in the betting.
  • Prolific off the tee and has loads of distance a huge advantage here at Torrey Pines.
  • A huge price but certainly a player who can mix it on these long demanding set ups.
Odds 160/1
Sportsbook

Best Outright Picks

Will Zalatoris
  • Comes here of a tied 5th last week.
  • He sits in the Top 10 SG approach, T2G , Par 4 Scoring & GIR gained over the past 36 rounds on tough tracks.
  • He game sets up well for tough, long and demanding tracks which the player face this week.
  • His best putting stats come on the Poa Annua that he faces this week.
Odds 33/1
Sportsbook

Farmer Insurance Open 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Farmers Insurance Open Betting Underdogs 2022
01/25/2022
Farmers Insurance Open Betting Favorites 2022
01/25/2022

Farmer Insurance Open 2022 Betting Analysis

Farmer Insurance Open 2022 Picks

Best Outsider Picks

Pat Rodgers
  • 2 top 10 finishes from 5 goes at the event.
  • Sits in the top 20 for my model this week and outside the top 50 in the betting.
  • Prolific off the tee and has loads of distance a huge advantage here at Torrey Pines.
  • A huge price but certainly a player who can mix it on these long demanding set ups.
Odds 160/1
Sportsbook

Joseph Bramlett
  • Sits in the Top 10 for Driving Distance over the past 36 rounds on tour, this has been a key ingredient for success at Torrey Pines.
  • 18th here last year, he is a stronger and wiser player 12 months on.
  • 4th in GIR gained on tough tracks over the past 36 rounds.
  • Putts his best statically on Poa Annua green which he faces for 54 holes this week.
Odds 175/1
Sportsbook

Wyndham Clarke
  • He’s in the Top 10 for Driving Distance over the past 36 rounds on tour. Data tells us this is a significant factor.
  • He putts his best statically on Poa Annua green which he faces for 54 holes this week.
  • He has made his last 5 cuts in a row showing consistency in his game right now
Odds 160/1
Sportsbook

Best Outright Picks

Will Zalatoris
  • Comes here of a tied 5th last week.
  • He sits in the Top 10 SG approach, T2G , Par 4 Scoring & GIR gained over the past 36 rounds on tough tracks.
  • He game sets up well for tough, long and demanding tracks which the player face this week.
  • His best putting stats come on the Poa Annua that he faces this week.
Odds 33/1
Sportsbook

Dustin Johnson
  • 5th in Driving Distance over the past 36 rounds, we know distance is an advantage here.
  • 1st Par 4 scoring from 450-500 yards , there are 6 holes on Torrey South which player face on 3 occasions.
  • Top 10 SG T2G over the past 36 rounds on tough tracks
  • Putts his best on Poa Annua grass which the players face this week.
Odds 20/1
Sportsbook

Brooks Koepka
  • Let’s just put stats to one side the 4 time Major champ in bigger than Burns,Finau, Berger, Sunny Im that’s got my attention.
  • Top 15 over the past 36 rounds on SG approach.
  • Top 15 GIR gained and Proximity from 150-200yards.
  • His price is just to big to ignore.
Odds 33/1
Sportsbook

Talor Gooch
  • 3rd here in 2019.
  • Top 5 finishes at Riviera, which is the same fairways grass and putting surfaces the players face this week
  • Top class iron player from 150-200 yards.
  • Statistically putts best on the Poa Annua which the players face for 54 holes this week.
Odds 50/1
Sportsbook

Pat Rodgers
  • 2 top 10 finishes from 5 goes at the event.
  • Sits in the top 20 for my model this week and outside the top 50 in the betting.
  • Prolific off the tee and has loads of distance a huge advantage here at Torrey Pines
  • A huge price but certainly a player who can mix it on these long demanding set ups.
Odds 160/1
Sportsbook

Farmer Insurance Open 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Farmers Insurance Open Betting Underdogs 2022
01/25/2022
Farmers Insurance Open Betting Favorites 2022
01/25/2022

Farmer Insurance Open 2022 Picks

Best Top 20 Picks

Will Zalatoris
 

  • Comes here of a tied 5th last week.
  • He sits in the Top 10 SG approach, T2G , Par 4 Scoring & GIR gained over the past 36 rounds on tough tracks.
  • He game sets up well for tough, long and demanding tracks which the player face this week.
  • His best putting stats come on the Poa Annua that he faces this week.
Odds 17/10
Sportsbook

Keegan Bradley
 

  • 2 top 5 finishes from 10 visits.
  • One of the best drivers on tour which is a huge help on this demanding setup.
  • Top SG T2G over the past 36 rounds on tour on tough tracks.
  • Sits in the top 25 of my model , will need to putt better to win but it’s not without hope that he does. He has gained strokes putting at Torrey in the past.
Odds 3/1
Sportsbook

Farmer Insurance Open 2022 Betting Analysis

Farmer Insurance Open 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Farmers Insurance Open Betting Underdogs 2022
01/25/2022
Farmers Insurance Open Betting Favorites 2022
01/25/2022

Farmer Insurance Open 2022 Betting Analysis

2 Ball Picks

Players

Charley Hoffman to beat Sam burns & Martin Laird

Odds 11/5
Sportsbook

Players

Marc Leishman to beat Patrick Reed & Phil Mickelson

Odds 5/4
Sportsbook

Farmer Insurance Open 2022 Picks

Farmer Insurance Open 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Farmers Insurance Open Betting Underdogs 2022
01/25/2022
Farmers Insurance Open Betting Favorites 2022
01/25/2022

Farmer Insurance Open 2022 Picks

3 Ball Picks

Players

Aaron Rai to beat Cameron Tringale & Peter Malnati

Odds 7/4
Sportsbook

Players

Christian Bezuidenhout to beat Justin Rose & Taylor Pendrift

Odds 6/4
Sportsbook

Farmer Insurance Open 2022 Betting Analysis

Farmer Insurance Open 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Farmers Insurance Open Betting Underdogs 2022
01/25/2022
Farmers Insurance Open Betting Favorites 2022
01/25/2022

Farmer Insurance Open 2022 Picks

Final Day 2/3 Balls

Players

Francesco Molinari to beat Ramey & Davis

Odds 29/20
Sportsbook

Players

Justin Thomas to beat Horschel & McNealy

Odds 11/10
Sportsbook

Farmer Insurance Open 2022 Betting Analysis

Farmer Insurance Open 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Farmers Insurance Open Betting Underdogs 2022
01/25/2022
Farmers Insurance Open Betting Favorites 2022
01/25/2022

Past Tournaments

Sportsbooks

Sportsbook
Bonus
Visit
RISK FREE FIRST BET UP TO $1000
SIGNUP AND GET A $1000 RISK-FREE FIRST BET
SIGNUP AND GET 2 RISK-FREE BETS UP TO $2,000
GET UP TO $1,100 IN FIRST BET INSURANCE