Gingerbets Insights & Picks

FedEx St. Jude 2022

Course & Location:

TPC Southwind, Memphis, TN

Dates:

11 - 14 Aug 2022

Purse:

$15 Million

Par:

70 / Yardage 7,237

Fairways:

Bermudagrass

Greens:

Bermudagrass

FedEx St. Jude 2022 Videos

FedEx St. Jude 2022 Picks

Best Underdog Pick

Russell Henley
  • 4 top 10 finishes in his last 7 events.
  • Ranked 1st last week for SG Approach Play – this course is all about controlling iron shots.
  • Ranked 5th last week for Driving Accuracy, all player quotes this week stress the importance of playing this course from the fairways, something I expect Henley to do.
  • Ranked 1st in approach play of all players teeing it up over the past 36 rounds on tour.
  • Ranked in the top 10 for proximity to the hole from 100- 175 yards, his overall iron game is top class and this is backed up by the stats.
  • Ranked 6th for Par 4 scoring from 400-450 yards, eight holes each day fall in this range.
  • Trending in the right direction I expect a huge performance.
Odds 50/1 +5000

Best Favorite Pick

Matt Fitzpatrick
  • A Major Champion who will be relishing the opportunity to take on the world’s best in the form of his life.
  • He has 2 top 10 finishes at the event previously in 2019,2020
  • A super driver of the ball, one of the most accurate teeing it up this week.
  • Ranked in the top 10 for GIR gained over the past 36 rounds on tour a key factor coming into this week
  • His best putting stats come on the Bermuda greens he faces this week.
  • In the form of his life, on a course that he has shown a liking to, he is a must bet at the top of the Market for me.
Odds 22/1 +2200

Best Top 20 Pick

Scott Stallings
    • 4 Top 20 finishes in a row, the most consistent his game has been for years.
    • He is an aggressive golfer who makes plenty of birdies.
    • Ranked in the top 10 for proximity to the hole from 125-175 yards a key distance this week.

    Ranks in the top 20 for SG Putting over the past 24 rounds on tour.

    • Ranks in the top 10 for SG Approach play over the past 24 rounds.
Odds 11/4 +275

First Round Leader Picks

Tyrell Hatton
Odds 50/1 +5000

Russell Henley
Odds 50/1 +5000

Mito Pereira
Odds 100/1 +10000

FedEx St. Jude 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Scott Stallings Betting Tips & Odds to Win The 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship – August 11-14
08/09/2022
Russell Henley Betting Tips & Odds to Win The 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship – August 11-14
08/09/2022
Matthew Fitzpatrick Betting Tips & Odds to Win The 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship – August 11-14
08/09/2022

Fantasy Golf Players

One & Done – Best Outright

Scottie Scheffler
  • Leads the FedEx cup ranking so will be highly motivated to stay there this week.
  • 2 top 20 finishes here in the past, a much better player now.
  • Ranks 6th for SG Off The Tee on par 70 tracks like he faces this week.
  • Ranked 2nd in GIR gained over the past 24 rounds .
  • Ranked 3rd for SG Around the Green over the past 24 rounds.
  • Gained Strokes with his approach play in each of the last 7 events.
  • Putts his best statically on the green surface he faces this week.
$11,700  

Salary Cap is $11k to $12k

Best Plays

Scottie Scheffler

Jon Rahm

$11,700

$11,300

Best Fades

Cam Smith

Tony Finau

$11,600

$11,100

Salary Cap is $9k to $11k

Best Plays

Will Zalatoris

Sam Burns

Russell Henley

Tyrell Hatton

$10,800

$10,100

$9,900

$9,600

Best Fades

Corey Conners

Hideki Matsuyama

Webb Simpson

$9,800

$10,000

$9,200

Sub $9k

Sleepers

Scott Stallings

Mito Pereira

$8,900

$8,500

Hidden Gems

Value Plays

Adam Svensson

Alex Smalley

Mark Hubbard

Andrew Putnam

$8,300

$8,200

$8,000

$7,700

FedEx St. Jude 2022 Overview

 

Welcome to the FedEx Playoffs, 125 of the world’s best golfers will compete over the next 3 weeks for the number 1 spot and a cheque for $ 18 million and the right to be crowned the Fedex Cup Champion.

 

We head to Memphis Tennessee for the first of three legs, after this week the final 125 will become 70, before the final cut to the best 40 players who will be it up in Atlanta at East Lake.

 

This weeks course TPC Southwind is a Par 70 with a standard set up on two par 5’s, four par 3’s and the rest made up of par 4’s. As you would expect it’s the two par 5’s that give up the most birdies and play as the easiest holes with the par 5 16th giving up 48% birdies in 2021, more birdies where made than pars. TPC Southwind’s greens are only 4,300 square feet on average so players will only be finding them on average 65% of the time, which puts an emphasis on the short game this week something I will come onto in the key skill sets required section. The course was toughened up for the WGC tournament recently, and the toughest holes are the Par 4s at 5, 12, 17, 7, and 18. Number 14 is the longest and most difficult Par 3 and can often ruin a scorecard. There are 11 water hazards on the course, with lakes, ponds, and streams spread across the fairways and guarding the Bermuda grass greens. Furthermore, every bunker on the course has been re-edged, some have been modified, and each of the 76 bunkers has new sand all part of the overhaul to improve the course to host WGC events. This course see more balls go in the water than any on tour! So with that said we are in for a great ride this week and plenty of excitement for fans and players alike.

 

This is a solid test of golf and unlike the past few weeks where winning scores have got to and surpassed 20 under par, this week I expect a winning score in the mid-teens.

 

Who will lift the trophy come Sunday evening? We’ll stay tuned for the skill sets required section below which will help you make more informed choices when constructing your final portfolio for the week.

 

 

Key Skill Sets Required

    1. Driving Accuracy – The majority of PGA Tour events favor length off the tee, not here at TPC Southwind. Here it is more about precision from the tee box, backed up by the fact the course ranks in the top 10 hardest on tour from the rough. Missing the fairways here is a bigger punishment than it is on the majority of courses on the PGA Tour circuit.
    2. GIR Gained – Hitting a high percentage of greens is a must here at TPC Southwind. 5 of the last 7 winners at the track have ranked in the top 10 on that given week. Players who are hitting their iron well and peppering the middle of greens have an outstanding chance at this course.
    3. SG Approach – We have touched upon the importance of hitting lots of greens in regulation this week, and that naturally lends itself to approach play is a key factor. Simply put your iron game needs to be majestic this week otherwise players will be stalling on that leaderboard.
    4. Proximity 150 – 200 Yards – A high majority of shots will come from the key range of 150-200 yards this as much as 45% of all approach shots will be from this distance. Therefore, a big emphasis is put on Mid Iron play and those players who have a track record of delivering with 5iron to 9iron in hand.
    5. SG Scrambling – Looking back at the winners here they have all excelled in scrambling performance across the week.
    6. SG Around The Green – Hitting greens in regulation here at TPC Southwind can prove difficult, meaning players will need a strong short game to come through this week’s test. TPC Southwind ranks in the hardest 20% of courses to get up and down from on the PGA tour circuit, we want players onside with an elite-level short game.
    7. SG Putting – We are on the Bermuda green this week so we will be looking for players who have proven their liking for these surfaces as they aren’t for everyone. The greens here are undulating and fast so those with favorable putting stats will be at a huge advantage. As with all low-scoring events like this one will be making most putts inside of 10ft in a must.

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