Gingerbets Insights & Picks

Sony Open 2022

Course & Location:
Waialae Country Club, Honolulu, HI
Dates:
13 - 16 Jan 2022
Purse:
$6.6 Million
Par:
70 / Yardage 7,044
Fairways:
Bermudagrass
Greens:
Bermudagrass

Sony Open 2021 Overview

Following the Sentry Tournament of Champions event that kicked off the PGA Tour year in Maui, golfers who teed it up there will make the short 115 mile puddle-jump flight between the Hawaiian Islands to compete in the Sony Open in Honolulu. The first full-field event of the calendar year features plenty of players near the top in the Official World Golf Rankings.

 

We are in for another low scoring birdie fest this week so attacking golf will be required.

 

Waialae has an average green size of 6,500 square feet, approximately 80 bunkers, and three to four holes with potential water hazards for the pros.

 

Hole 1, 2, 4, and 6 are among the five most difficult, with hole 13’s Par 4 being the most difficult scoring hole. As golfers obtain better angles on approach shots to, course management and fairway placement become more important as a result of the variety of tee-to-green routing and anticipated winds.

 

Players’ scoring will be determined by their accuracy on approach shots to the greens, as well as their putting on the pure Bermuda greens. Greens hit has always been crucial to Waialae’s scoring and top-finishing prowess. Scores will be low once more, with just the possibility of wind causing some problems for the best golfers.I don’t think we will get to the dizzy heights of last week where 30 under par only got you 3rd place.

 

Waialae is one of the more challenging courses for driving accuracy, with fairways that run fairly fast and drives that run over light Bermuda rough. The fact that Waialae is consistently ranked among the top 20 most difficult courses in terms of Rough Proximity backs up players’ perceptions that getting near to the pin from off the fairway is difficult

 

Putting is the certainly critical, putting has been a more significant statistic when it comes to winning the Sony Open compared to other events on the PGA Tour. Since 2005, winners have had an average field rank in that stat better than fifth. 7 of the last 8 years the winning player has ranked in the top 5 for SG Putting.

 

5 Key Skills Set Required

  1. SG Off The Tee – Gaining strokes off the tee has been a great starting point to attack this event from. When looking at previous winners they have all shown up positively in this category. This week we have the longest player on tour in BDC for which the newer style may suit, however previous renewals have favoured accuracy off the tee. Player who gain strokes in this area are often finding fairways and have natural length for SG OTT is the starting point for me this week.
  2. GIR Gained – This course is quite challenging off the tee and for that reason hitting plenty of greens in regulation has been key to challenging the top end off the leaderboard. The fact that Waialae is consistently ranked among the top 20 most difficult courses in terms of Rough Proximity backs up players’ perceptions that getting near to the pin from off the fairway is difficult, so we want players who have shown a propensity to hammer GIR from both fairways and rough.
  3. SG Approach 150-200 yards – With the exception of Cam Smith in 2020 who finished outside the top 50 in SG approach, this has been a killer stat. When we looked at the recent winners 5 of the last 6 have ranked in the top 5 for SG approach. You will need to have plenty of birdie looks this week if you wish to take home the trophy. One way to ensure that is to hit plenty of shots close to the flag stick. This has been the most important factor in contending at this event in recent time. To dig a little deeper I noticed that more shots from 150-200 yards come up here than on average and therefore I want to look at approach play in more detail from this range.
  4. Par 4 Scoring 400-500 yards – Given we have 12 Par 4’s on the course this week and 10 of them 400-500 yards , we should pay particular attention to this stat. Winners of this event in the past have scored very well on the Par 4’s. This week will be no different and the player who lifts the the trophy will have excelled in this area.
  5. SG Putting on Bermudagrass – This has been this key factor in lifting this trophy no doubts about it. Putting has been a more significant statistic when it comes to winning the Sony Open compared to other events on the PGA Tour. Since 2005, winners have had an average field rank in that stat better than fifth. 7 of the last 8 years the winning player has ranked in the top 5 for SG Putting. So when looking at your final picks this week be sure to have a top quality putter on side.

Sony Open 2022 Videos

Sony Open 2022 Picks

Best Outsiders

Joel Dahman
  • 12th here in 2020 – made every cut at this event.
  • 2nd in Proximity to the hole over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • 11th fairways gained over the 24 rounds on tour
  • 15th in my overall model for the week – not reflected in his price where he is 30th in the betting.
Odds +6500
Sportsbook

Best Outright Picks

Kevin Kisner
  • Comes here off a top 10 in TOC last week.
  • Putted extremely well over the 4 days – 3rd in the field, putting a key factor this week
  • 3 tops 5’s from 10 goes at this event
Odds +3600
Sportsbook

Sony Open 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Sony Open in Hawaii Underdog Betting Picks
01/12/2022
Sony Open in Hawaii Betting Favorites
01/11/2022

Sony Open 2022 Betting Analysis

Sony Open 2022 Picks

Best Outsider Picks

Joel Dahman
  • 12th here in 2020 – made every cut at this event
  • 2nd in Proximity to the hole over the past 24 rounds on tour
  • 11th fairways gained over the 24 rounds on tour
  • 15th in my overall model for the week – not reflected in his price where he is 30th in the betting
Odds +6500
Sportsbook

Brendon Steel
  • 2 tops 5’s from only 3 goes at this event
  • Putts best on the Bermuda grass he faces this week
  • 2nd place finish 3 starts back at the zozo championship
Odds -66/1 
Sportsbook

Brendon Grace
  • Warmed up at last weeks TOC where his play was better than the bare result
  • A solid putter and putts best on Bermuda grass he faces this week
  • Highly ranked in approach play from 150-200 yards
  • A technical layout with doglegs should suit his play
Odds 90/1
Sportsbook

Best Outright Picks

Kevin Kisner
  • Comes here off a top 10 in TOC last week.
  • Putted extremely well over the 4 days – 3rd in the field, putting a key factor this week
  • 3 tops 5’s from 10 goes at this event
Odds +3600
Sportsbook

Corey Connery
  • 2nd Ball striking over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • 2nd SG off the tee over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • 3rd in approach play over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • 7th in GIR gained over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Can his putting hold up? Bermuda seems to be the best grass for this inconsistent putter.
Odds +2900
Sportsbook

Marc Leishman
  • Arrives on the back of a Top 10 at the TOC.
  • 2 Top 5 finishes in his last 3 Sony Open appearances.
  • Gaining stokes putting constantly on Bermudagrass.
  • 7th best putter on Bermuda green over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Hit 89% of GIR last week, a key factor this week at the Sony Open.
Odds 20/1
Sportsbook

Christian Bezuidenhout
  • A world class putter who putts best statically on Bermuda grass greens we face this week
  • Top 10 SG approach from 150-175 yards key distance this week.
  • Hits high percentage of greens in regulation
  • Technical layout which doesn’t favour length considerably is in his favour
Odds 50/1
Sportsbook

Sony Open 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Sony Open in Hawaii Underdog Betting Picks
01/12/2022
Sony Open in Hawaii Betting Favorites
01/11/2022

Sony Open 2022 Picks

Best Top 20 Picks

Kevin Kisner
 

  • Comes here off a top 10 in TOC last week
  • 2nd in Proximity to the hole over the past 24 rounds on tour
  • Putted extremely well over the 4 days – 3rd in the field, putting a key factor this week
  • 3 tops 5’s from 10 goes at this event
Odds 7/5
Sportsbook

Brandon Grace
 

  • Warmed up at last weeks TOC where his play was better than the bare result
  • A solid putter and putts best on Bermuda grass he faces this week
  • Highly ranked in approach play from 150-200 yards
  • A technical layout with doglegs should suit his play
Odds 10/3
Sportsbook

Alex Smalley
 

  • 5th in Proximity to the hole over the past 24 rounds on tour
  • Performances have been solid in the wind, something that could help him this week
  • Putts the Bermuda grass well, gaining strokes over the field average regularly
Odds +450
Sportsbook

Sony Open 2022 Betting Analysis

Sony Open 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Sony Open in Hawaii Underdog Betting Picks
01/12/2022
Sony Open in Hawaii Betting Favorites
01/11/2022

Sony Open 2022 Betting Analysis

3 Ball Picks

Player

Brandon Grace to beat Brandon Todd & Keith Mitchell

Odds 15/8
Sportsbook

Player

Christian Bezuidenhout to beat Beau Hossler & Bill Hass

Odds 10/11
Sportsbook

Sony Open 2022 Picks

Sony Open 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Sony Open in Hawaii Underdog Betting Picks
01/12/2022
Sony Open in Hawaii Betting Favorites
01/11/2022

Sony Open 2022 Picks

2 Ball Picks

Players

Kevin Kisner to beat Ryan Palmer

Odds 5/6
Sportsbook

Players

Taylor Gooch to beat Grayson Sigg

Odds 7/10
Sportsbook

Players

Russell Henley to beat Haotong Li

Odds 8/13
Sportsbook

Sony Open 2022 Betting Analysis

Sony Open 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Sony Open in Hawaii Underdog Betting Picks
01/12/2022
Sony Open in Hawaii Betting Favorites
01/11/2022

Sony Open 2022 Picks

2 Ball Picks

Players

Hideki Matsuyama to beat Russell Henley

Odds 10/11
Sportsbook

Players

Taylor Gooch to beat Kevin Na

Odds 1/1
Sportsbook

Sony Open 2022 Betting Analysis

Sony Open 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Sony Open in Hawaii Underdog Betting Picks
01/12/2022
Sony Open in Hawaii Betting Favorites
01/11/2022

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