Gingerbets Insights & Picks

The RSM Classic 2022

Course & Location:

Sea Island Resort (Seaside Course) & Plantation Course, St. Simons Island, GA

Dates:

Nov 17th - 20th 2022

Purse:

$8.1 Million

Par:

70 / Yardage 7,005

Fairways:

Platinum Paspalum

Greens:

Bermudagrass

The RSM Classic 2022 Videos

The RSM Classic 2022 Picks

Best Underdog Pick

Chris Kirk
  • A winner here and 2 other top 10 finishes from 12 starts.
  • His form has dipped towards the back end of 2022, however, that is reflected in his odds.
  • There have been plenty of big priced winners here in the past.
  • Ranks in the top 20 over the past 50 rounds for PAR 4 Scoring, Scrambling and Proximity to the hole from 100-150 yards which are all key skill sets required this week.
Odds 70/1 + 7000

Best Favorite Pick

Brian Harman
  • 2 top 10 finishes at the track previously.
  • 3 Top 10’s in his last 9 starts worldwide.
  • His iron play has remained solid, he has gained strokes with approach play in each of his last 6 events.
  • Gained strokes T2G vs the field, each of the last 6 events.
  • One of the best putters in this field and putts really well on the bermudagrass he faces this week.
Odds 20/1 + 2000

Best Top 20 Pick

Justin Rose
  • A player who arrives in good form with a Top 10 last week.
  • 12th at this event last year on only his second start.
  • Gained strokes across every key skill set here last year showing his liking for the layout.
  • Ranked in the top 20 for SG Approach play over the past 50 rounds on tour.
  • Ranked in the top 20 for SG Par 4 scoring on holes 400-450 yards over the past 50 rounds on tour.
  • Putts well on the Bermudagrass greens he faces this week.
Odds TBC

First Round Leader Picks

Adam Schenk
Odds 40/1 +4000

Matthew NeSmith
Odds 25/1 +2500

Best First Day 3 Ball Matchup

Matt Wallace To Beat Baddeley & Jaeger
Odds 9/5 +190

The RSM Classic 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

The RSM Betting Favorites
11/15/2022

Fantasy Golf Players

One & Done – Best Outright

Matthew Nesmith
  • 3 Top 20 finishes in a row heading into this week, shows his game is firing.
  • 2 Top 20 finishes from 3 starts at this event previously.
  • Ranked 6th SG Approach play over the past 50 rounds.
  • Ranked 2nd GIR Gained over the past 50 rounds.
  • Ranked 4TH Proximity to the hole from 125-150yards , a key distance this week.
  • Lots to like from a player in real consistent form.
$10,300

Salary Cap is $11k to $12k

Best Plays

Brian Harman

Davis Riley

$11,500

$11,200

Best Fades

Jason day

Joel Dahmen

$11,300

$11,000

Salary Cap $9k – $11k

Best Plays

Denny McCarthy

JJ Spaun

Patrick Rodgers

$10,400

$9,800

$10,000

Best Fades

Hayden Buckley

Webb Simpson

Taylor Moore

$9,000

$10,600

$9,300

Sub $9k

Sleepers

Adam Schenk

Davis Lipskey

$8,500

$8,800

Hidden Gems

Value Plays

Adam Svensson

Joseph Bramlett

Matt Wallace

$8,200

$8,100

$7,800

The RSM Classic Overview

 

The final full-field event of the 2022 calendar year is the RSM Classic, an event many players look forward to.

 

This week’s venue is home to many players on the PGA Tour. On St Simon’s Island, the Plantation Course is just next door to the host venue, the Seaside Course. The 18-hole action is split between the two courses on Thursday and Friday, with the Seaside Course hosting the last 36 holes.

 

The Seaside Course is a hidden gem with firm, quick greens and the oldest TifEagle greens on tour.  It’s like a Scottish links course with ocean vistas near the Atlantic. The course flows through marshlands and lakes, with water or marshes in play on nearly every hole. A stop on the PGA Tour that all the players look forward to especially those that get to stay in their own bed such as Harris English, Harman, Kuchar, Patton Kizzire, Matt Kuchar, Keith Mitchell, J.T. Poston too name just a few.

 

Plantation is more of a parkland course near the sea, and it was recently refurbished by event host Davis Love III. The fairways are tree-lined, and the course has a traditional parkland feel to it, with golfers referencing Harbour Town Golf Links as a reference point. However, because tidal rivers and lakes are present on nearly every hole, mistakes are costly. Plantation’s fairways are wide, and this Par 72 course is 7,060 yards long, mega short by PGA Tour standards.

 

With distance virtually having no advantage, players will club down more. The leaders will be determined by their ability to strike the ball and manage its trajectory and shot shapes, as well as their ability to hit fairways and greens and make more putts outside of 15 feet. If the wind isn’t too strong, this could turn into a putting contest. This will be another low-scoring PGA Tour event, and it will be a dramatic turnaround from last week’s Houston Open.

 

Who will lift that trophy come Sunday evening? Stay tuned to find out the angles Gingerbets will be taking.

 

Let’s break down those key skill sets and reveal those all-important outright picks.

 

 

Key Skill Sets Required

    1. SG T2G – Anyone who has followed me for some time will know that on low scoring tracks I favour recent T2G performance. I just don’t believe that it is something that can click across all facets of your game without showing some prior sparks. This is a course that sees the same type of player contending year in year out. These are players that are accurate off the tee and consistent with their iron play. It often falls down to the best putter on the week certainly in recent times.
    2. Driving Accuracy – The course this week is more tactical off the tee, it is not possible to overpower the golf course and therefore playing to the right parts of the fairways will be key to success. I am therefore favouring players that show patience off the tee, and don’t just rely on power.
    3. GIR gained – When we looked at the recent winners and the stats it is apparent that GIR gained is a key metric. The majority of the winners in the last six years have been in the top 10 for GIR gained on that given week I expect similar this week.
    4. Proximity to hole from 100-150 yards – We can expect another low scoring a fair this week on the PGA tour, and therefore it’s going to be imperative that players hit their short iron shots close to the pin giving themselves plenty of birdie looks inside 15 feet.
    5. Par 4 Scoring 400-450 yards – The Sea Island course see’s nine holes falling in this distance, and therefore a category I want to pay particular attention to. 54 of the 72 holes are played at the Sea Island course. With 27 Holes being Par 4 from 400-450 yards.
    6. SG Putting on Bermudagrass – When we look at the final leaderboards over the last few years it is apparent players that putt best rise to the top come Sunday. This is a course where only three or four shots can separate 20 players on the leaderboard at the end of the event. It’s the player that has the best putting stats that will often sneak clear by a shot or two. We don’t have to look for out and out putting specialist as some of the early iron players have always been successful at the RSM classic.

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