Gingerbets Insights & Picks

Waste Management Phoenix Open 2022

Course & Location:
TPC Scottsdale (Stadium), Scottsdale, AZ
Dates:
10 - 13 Feb 2022
Purse:
$7.3 Million
Par:
71 / Yardage 7,261
Fairways:
Bermudagrass - perennial ryegrass
Greens:
TifEagle with velvet bentgrass

Waste Management Phoenix Open 2022 Overview

 

Over Super Bowl weekend, the PGA Tour heads to Arizona for the Waste Management Phoenix Open. The PGA Tour has named “The People’s Open” “Tournament of the Year” four times since 2014, making it one of the most popular fan events of the year.The players have divided opinion some who take to the wild atmosphere, and other more traditionalists that maybe don’t appreciate the party like atmosphere.

 

Players will confront a different challenge this week, as the golf ball will travel significantly further than it has in the past over Hawaii and California, at an elevation of around 1,200 feet above sea level. As well as the conditions in the air the players will have the fans to deal with as we have touched upon so it’s all change this week for the worlds best.

 

We have 6 of the world top 10 in attendance along with 17 of the top 30 in the official golf world rankings. A star studded field for one the the events of the year.

 

The top Tee-to-Green operators on Tour have prospered on the course in Scottsdale. The desert course is rather gentle for the first 14 holes, but a terrific closing stretch with plenty of great reward alternatives makes for an exciting finale. The Par 5 at No. 15 is a classic risk/reward hole, with a water hazard running the length of the left side from tee to green. Then it’s on to No. 16, where the high-octane action generally draws a raucous crowd to an unrivalled amphitheatre encircled by grandstands followed by the short Par 4 17th which the majority of the field can drive if they choose to do so.Drama is almost guaranteed at the Waste Management Phoenix Open.

 

TPC Scottsdale’s greens are big, averaging approximately 7,000 square feet. Six holes feature water, and the smooth bermuda greens are sparsely guarded by hazards. As nearly every champion in recent memory has been near the top of Greens-in-Regulation, hitting greens has been critical to contending. A ball strikers paradise this week but also one where you require the flat stick to be in good order.

 

If your new to golf viewing this is one event not to be missed. If you are thinking of getting your friends involved in the sport this is the event to point them to for sure.

 

The cream has risen to the top here over the past 10 years. 8 of the last 9 winners were major champions or won The Players, something to bare in mind when finalising your selections for the week.

 

 

5 Key Skills Set Required

  1. SG T2G – The natural place to start this week is with overall Tee to Green performance. This is one event where the ball strikers seem to rise to the top of the leaderboard. Many weeks onto the flat stick is an important factor however this week less so which could explain the reason behind Hideki Matsuyama winning this event in back-to-back years notoriously poor with the flat stick. I will be looking at recent form from tee to green as a key factor. 4 of the past 5 winners have ranked in the top 2 for SG T2G that particular week.
  2. GIR Gained – Five of the last six winners of ranked in the top five for green in regulations gained on that particular week at the Waste Management Phoenix open. This tells you all you need to know. Players that hit plenty of greens this week will have an outstanding chance of lifting the trophy, the greens are large by PGATour standards and we see more put here rolled in from outside of 15 feet than many of the courses the players will play during 2022.
  3. SG Par 4 -400-500Yards – 10 holes each day fall in the 400 to 500 yard range And therefore I want to pay particular attention to players who have dominated the par fours in recent times.
  4. SG Scrambling – For the first week in a while putting isn’t making headlines in the key categories to consider section however it is slightly built-in to the scramble in statistics that I will be looking at this week. Scrambling has been a key factor here at the Waste Management Phoenix Open. Winners of the event often scrambling at a 70% or better throughout the week.
  5. Bogey Avoidance – This correlates with scrambling. Players this week will have to keep bogeys off their card, this is a proper test of golf with all parts of the game put through the ringer, off the tee, approach play and the short game will all be tested and the players who lifts the trophy will also be a player who has made very few bogeys. It’s certainly more important this week that it has been at any point in 2022 events so far.

Waste Management Phoenix Open 2022 Videos

Waste Management Phoenix Open 2022 Picks

Best Outsiders

Si Woo Kim
  • 11th placed finishes in his last 2 events.
  • Gained strokes in all key skill areas over his last few events such as T2G, Approach play , Around the Green & Putting. This shows his game is in good order.
  • An underrated short game ranking in the top 20 on tour for bogey avoidance.
  • Plays the Par 4’s from 400-500 yards well ranking in the top 25 on tour over the past 36 rounds.
Odds 100/1
Sportsbook

Best Outright Picks

Patrick Cantley
  • 1st Visit here will put many off, Brooks & Kyle Stanley both won on debut.
  • Is in the top 10 for SG approach over the past 50 rounds on tour
  • In the top 10 for GIR gained over the past 50 rounds on tour
  • Top 10 SG around the green over the past 50 rounds on tour.
Odds 16/1
Sportsbook

Waste Management Phoenix Open 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Favorites
02/08/2022
A Couple of Outsiders Look to Surprise at the WM Phoenix Open
02/08/2022

Waste Management Phoenix Open 2022 Betting Analysis

Waste Management Phoenix Open 2022 Picks

Best Outsider Picks

Si Woo Kim
  • 11th placed finishes in his last 2 events.
  • Gained strokes in all key skill areas over his last few events such as T2G, Approach play , Around the Green & Putting. This shows his game is in good order.
  • An underrated short game ranking in the top 20 on tour for bogey avoidance.
  • Plays the Par 4’s from 400-500 yards well ranking in the top 25 on tour over the past 36 rounds.
Odds 100/1
Sportsbook

Corey Conners
  • 17th here last year, he only has to visits to the track.
  • 1st in Ball Striking over the past 36 rounds, this track is all about ball striking.
  • 2nd in GIR gained over the past 50 rounds on tour.
  • 8th in Bogey avoidance over the past 50 rounds on tour.
  • Lots in his favour if he can putt well this week.
Odds 50/1
Sportsbook

Keegan Bradley
  • 6 of the last 7 winner of this event were major winners, and Keegan ticks that box
  • 8th in Ball Striking on tour over the past 36 rounds, this event is all about ball striking.
  • Top 20 in other key skill categories such as GIR gained, Par 4 scoring and SG T2G over the past 36 rounds on tour.
Odds 100/1
Sportsbook

Best Outright Picks

Patrick Cantley
  • 1st Visit here will put many off, Brooks & Kyle Stanley both won on debut.
  • Is in the top 10 for SG approach over the past 50 rounds on tour
  • In the top 10 for GIR gained over the past 50 rounds on tour
  • Top 10 SG around the green over the past 50 rounds on tour.
Odds 16/1
Sportsbook

Jordan Speith
  • 3 top 10’s here previously
  • Arrives in great form from a second place finish at Pebble .
  • Top 10 for SG around the green last 36 rounds on tours
  • A potential masters winner will want to get a win prior to his favorite event of the year, expect a highly motivated Speith in action this week.
Odds 21/1
Sportsbook

Adam Scott
  • Comes here on the back of 2 top 10 finishes in UAE on the European tour at tracks that will have similar winning score to this week.
  • A major champion already, 7 of the last 8 winners of this event were major champs.
  • 4th in GIR gained over the past 50 rounds on tour.
  • 1st in Par 4 scoring 450-500 yards over the past 24 rounds on tour, a key distance this week
  • 6th SG short game over the past 50 rounds on tour.
Odds 50/1
Sportsbook

Abraham Ancer
  • 2nd Par 4 scoring from 400-450 yards over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • 3rd Par 4 scoring from 450-500 yards over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • 7th in Bogey Avoidance over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • 9th in Ball Striking over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Although no course history to shout about he has similar skill set to winner Webb Simpson who has an outstanding record here.
Odds 50/1
Sportsbook

Waste Management Phoenix Open 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Favorites
02/08/2022
A Couple of Outsiders Look to Surprise at the WM Phoenix Open
02/08/2022

Waste Management Phoenix Open 2022 Picks

Best Top 20 Picks

Russell Henley
 

  • When looking at the key skill sets this week, bogey avoidance & scrambling both stood out. Henley ranks in the top 10 on tour in both over the past 36 rounds.
  • Sits in the top 20 SG T2G over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Sits in the top 20 SG Ball Striking over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • A streaky putter who has gained stokes in 4 of his last 5 events with the flat stick
Odds +190
Sportsbook

Xander Schauffele
 

  • 2nd Last Year and another top 10 from just 4 visits to this event.
  • 3rd in GIR gained over the past 36 rounds on tour, a key metric this week.
  • 4th SG T2G over the past 36 rounds on tour
  • 4th in Par 4 scoring from 450-500 yards over the past 36 rounds on tour.
  • 6th in Bogey Avoidance over the past 36 rounds , all the stats say we should expect a strong showing from Xander this week at a price that’s fair if not overly generous
Odds 7+100
Sportsbook

Waste Management Phoenix Open 2022 Betting Analysis

Waste Management Phoenix Open 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Favorites
02/08/2022
A Couple of Outsiders Look to Surprise at the WM Phoenix Open
02/08/2022

Waste Management Phoenix Open 2022 Betting Analysis

Day 1 – 3 Ball Picks

Players

Abraham Ancer to beat Brooks Koepka & Gary Woodland

Odds 17/10
Sportsbook

Players

Corey Conners to beat Martin Trainer & Kevin Tway

Odds 4/5
Sportsbook

Players

Russell Henley to beat Brandon Hagy & Rory Sabbatini

Odds 5/6
Sportsbook

Waste Management Phoenix Open 2022 Picks

Waste Management Phoenix Open 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Favorites
02/08/2022
A Couple of Outsiders Look to Surprise at the WM Phoenix Open
02/08/2022

Waste Management Phoenix Open 2022 Picks

3 Ball Picks

Players

Ancer to beat K H Lee & Tom Hoge

Odds 8/5
Sportsbook

Players

Taylor Gooch to beat Cantley & Adam Hadwin

Odds 19/10
Sportsbook

Waste Management Phoenix Open 2022 Betting Analysis

Waste Management Phoenix Open 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Favorites
02/08/2022
A Couple of Outsiders Look to Surprise at the WM Phoenix Open
02/08/2022

Waste Management Phoenix Open 2022 Picks

Final Day 2/3 Balls

Players

Adam Scott to beat Ancer & Munoz

Odds 29/20
Sportsbook

Players

Alex Noren to beat Hadwin & Higgo

Odds 33/20
Sportsbook

Waste Management Phoenix Open 2022 Betting Analysis

Waste Management Phoenix Open 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Favorites
02/08/2022
A Couple of Outsiders Look to Surprise at the WM Phoenix Open
02/08/2022

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