Gingerbets Insights & Picks

Wells Fargo Championship 2022

Course & Location:
TPC Potomac
Dates:
5 - 8 May 2022
Purse:
$9 Million
Par:
7,160 Yards
Fairways:
Bentgrass
Greens:
Bentgrass

Wells Fargo 2022 Overview

 

The Wells Fargo takes place at a new venue but not the first time the PGA Tour has been here to TPC Potomac. TPC Potomac hosted the Tiger Woods Foundation’s Quicken Loans National in 2017 & 2018 . It’s a course with plenty of professional golf tournament history, located almost opposite its famous neighbour Congressional Country Club, and it proved to be a potent addition to the current PGA Tour, we return this year after a 4 year hiatus. Over the last 12 years, the course has hosted PGA Tour, web.com, and a Senior Major Championship so we know it meets the needs to challenge the worlds best.

 

A short course by PGA Tour standards but don’t let that lead you into a false sense of security.  This course has been likened to a US Open type set up, extremely demanding off the tee with tight and narrow fairways facing the players, the challenge won’t stop there with tough rough and tiny greens to attack with their second shots.

 

TPC Potomac is short 7,107 yards, many players may have arrived under the false impression that this course could be completely overpowered, but that is not the case. It became clear early on that the Par 70, which got harder and faster throughout the four days, was the difficult course we had anticipated when hosting the Quicken Loans National in 2017/18 . TPC Potomac has only one reachable par-5, and with three of the four par-3s measuring 190 yards or more, the short holes provide little respite. Throw in six par-4s that are over 450 yards long. Green complexes in this area feature Bentgrass and are particularly small, averaging only 4,265 sq.ft, they better bring their short game this week! When Kyle Stanley won his second PGA Tour title here it was done by  topping the GIR stats for the week. Kyle missed 17 greens in four rounds, demonstrating that if you want to win around here, you must have a scrambling game to make par when you inevitably miss greens. With a elite field this week I expect the same as tournament organisers set this up to test each and every part of the players game.

 

This week will be a test of patience and mental aptitude as much as well as a test of skill. I’m extremely excited about this event and it could provide clues to some of the Major championships that are fast approaching. Let’s see if we can dissect the key skill sets required and find the winner.

 

 

Key Skills Set Required

    1. SG T2G – A short course by PGA TOUR standards but don’t be fooled, it seems this is a real tee to green test testing every club in the bag. The test has even been likened to a US Open, therefore I want to look players with solid T2G stats over the past 24/36 rounds, showing me they will having confidence in their swing on this demanding layout.
    2. Driving Accuracy– All of the reports  suggest this is a really challenging test off the tee for players, and when reading player quotes from Quicken loans in 2017 and 18 it appears that driving accuracy is a huge asset. The majority of the quotes state that playing from the fairways is a distinct advantage, as it is the most PGA tour courses but particular here at TPC Potomac.
    3. GIR gained – We can see from previous events held at this course hitting green’s in regulation is a recipe for success. They are extremely small and scrambling will certainly come into play but the player who lifts the trophy comes Sunday evening almost certainly be in the top 10 for greening regulations gained on the week. I want players on side who have shown they are doing this over the past 4/6 weeks.
    4. SG Around the Green/Scrambling – So far we have established the greens are small, it could be like a US Open test and therefore it’s a no brainer to look for players who have a outstanding short game around the greens and scrambling. Whoever wins this tournament will have had to get up and down consistently to survive. We can see that when looking at Kyle Stanley back in 2017 when he led the green in regulation stats missed 17 greens over the four days so despite being the best iron play on the week he still had to battle hard around the greens.
    5. Par 4 Scoring – 12 par 4’s  on show this week and only three of them averaging under par on the scorecard during the 2017/18 quicken loans tells us the challenge that faces the players this week. Often it’s par 5 scoring that separates the player on these demanding layouts however there are only 2 of those this week and only 1 of those will be reachable by all the players. For me par 4 scoring will be key. I want to pay particular attention to player who have handle the challenges par 4mover the past 3/4 months of the season.

Wells Fargo Championship 2022 Videos

Wells Fargo Championship 2022 Picks

Best Outsider Pick

Steven Jaeger
  • A killer short game is required this week
  • 8th in SG around the green over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Top 30 in SG scrambling over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Putts his best on bentgrass green which the players face this week.
Odds 100/1 +10000
Sportsbook

Best Outright Pick

Marc Leishman
  • 3rd in Bogey Avoidance over the past 24 rounds on tour, his short game is one of the best on tour.
  • 3rd in birdies made over the past 24 rounds, on this challenging test birdies will make up, for the inevitable dropped shots.
  • 5th in SG Total over the past 24 rounds on tour
  • 9th in Par 4 scoring over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Bubbling under the surface Marc can make an impact on a test that he will enjoy.
Odds 40/1 +4000
Sportsbook

Top 20 Picks

Russell Henley
  • Has finished 2 & 3 off the back of missed cuts can he go one better this week.
  • 1st SG Total over the past 24 rounds on tour
  • 5th in Bogey Avoidance over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • 4th in birdies made over the past 24 rounds on tour.
Odds 6/4 +150
Sportsbook

First Round Leader Picks

Players
 

Corey Conners

Odds 33/1 +3300
Sportsbook

Players
 

Lanto Griffen

Odds 66/1 +6600
Sportsbook

Wells Fargo Championship 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

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Wells Fargo Championship 2022 Betting Analysis

Wells Fargo Championship 2022 Picks

Best Outsider Picks

Steven Jaeger
  • A killer short game is required this week
  • 8th in SG around the green over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Top 30 in SG scrambling over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Putts his best on bentgrass green which the players face this week.
Odds 100/1 +10000
Sportsbook

Kevin Streelman
  • A model of consistency off the tee.
  • 12th In fairways gained over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • 1st in SG scrambling over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Gained strokes putting in 3 of the last 4 events, often a weakness in his game
Odds 80/1 +8000
Sportsbook

Kieth Mitchell
  • Proven to like tough and demand tests which the players are facing this week.
  • Top in SG total & SG scrambling over the past 24 rounds on tour is a good combo for this event.
  • Top 10 in birdies made, a handy asset when bogeys are inevitable.
  • 5 top 20 finishes in his last 7 events, shows the game is in good nick.
Odds 50/1 +5000
Sportsbook

Best Outright Pick

Marc Leishman
  • 3rd in Bogey Avoidance over the past 24 rounds on tour, his short game is one of the best on tour.
  • 3rd in birdies made over the past 24 rounds, on this challenging test birdies will make up,for the inevitable dropped shots.
  • 5th in SG Total over the past 24 rounds on tour
  • 9th in Par 4 scoring over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Bubbling under the surface Marc can make an impact on a test that he will enjoy.
Odds 40/1 +4000
Sportsbook

Tyrell Hatton
  • 9th in SG total over the past 24 rounds on tour
  • 4th in par 4 scoring over the past 24 rounds, the challenge of 450 yard + par 4’s won’t faze Hatton. He plays his best golf on these types on tests.
  • Top 20 in birdies made and bogey avoidance is a great combo to have on your side heading to an event like this.
  • One of the best putter in the world in a low scoring g perhaps single figure under par test this could prove a key factor.
Odds 33/1 +3300
Sportsbook

Corey Conners
  • One of the best drivers of the ball on tour , a tee to green machine.
  • 7th in GIR gained over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Gaining strokes in all key skill areas over the past 5 events on tour
  • This is the type of test that Conners will like if he can top the GIR stats which he well capable off he has a live.
Odds 20/1 +2000
Sportsbook

Matt Fitzpatrick
  • His breakthrough PGA Tour win is sure to come some and when it does is most certainly a test like this.
  • 3rd in SG total over the past 24 rounds on tour
  • 5th in birdies made over the past 24 rounds shows his game is firing.
  • 6th in Par 4 scoring over the past 24 rounds on tour.
Odds 22/1 +2200
Sportsbook

Wells Fargo Championship 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

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Wells Fargo Championship 2022 Picks

Best Top 20 Picks

Russell Henley
  • Has finished 2 & 3 off the back of missed cuts can he go one better this week.
  • 1st SG Total over the past 24 rounds on tour
  • 5th in Bogey Avoidance over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • 4th in birdies made over the past 24 rounds on tour.
Odds TBC
Sportsbook

Kieth Mitchell
  • Proven to like tough and demand tests which the players are facing this week.
  • Top in SG total & SG scrambling over the past 24 rounds on tour is a good combo for this event.
  • Top 10 in birdies made, a handy asset when bogeys are inevitable.
  • 5 top 20 finishes in his last 7 events, shows the game is in good nick.
Odds 9/4 +225
Sportsbook

Wells Fargo Championship 2022 Betting Analysis

Wells Fargo Championship 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

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Wells Fargo Championship 2022 Betting Analysis

Day 1 – 3 Balls

Players

Brian Harman to beat Ryan Amour & Kramer Hickok

Odds +138
Sportsbook

Players

Rory Mcllroy to beat Webb Simpson & Frankie Molinari

Odds +110
Sportsbook

Players

Lanto Griffen to beat Keegan Brandley & JT Poston

Odds +188
Sportsbook

Wells Fargo Championship 2022 Picks

Wells Fargo Championship 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

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Wells Fargo Championship 2022 Picks

Half Way – 3 Ball Picks

Players

Tyrell Hatton to beat Sabbatini & Lahiri

Odds +120
Sportsbook

Players

Jonny Vegas to beat Fitzpatrick & Schenk

Odds +200
Sportsbook

Wells Fargo Championship 2022 Betting Analysis

Wells Fargo Championship 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

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Wells Fargo Championship 2022 Picks

Final Day 3 Balls

Players

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Odds +N/A
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Players

Coming Soon

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Wells Fargo Championship 2022 Betting Analysis

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