Gingerbets Insights & Picks

Zozo Championship 2021

Course & Location:
Accordia Golf Narashino Country Club, Las Vegas, NV
Dates:
21 - 24 Oct, 2021
Purse:
$9.95 Million
Par:
70/ Yardage 7,024
Fairways:
Bentgrass
Greens:
Bentgrass

Zozo Championship 2021 Overview

The Accordia Golf Narashino Country Club, which first opened its doors in 1965, is a small course with forgiving tree-lined fairways. Two greens per hole are a Japanese practise that arose from a requirement to maintain diverse grasses for changeable weather many years before developments in agrostology. Individual greens, on the other hand, are small, necessitating precision short-irons and approach shots for additional birdie possibilities. Lines off the tee appear to be rather claustrophobic in this tree-lined site. There are six doglegs to offer variation, but the rough this week appears to be rather light so could driving distance be more important than accuracy. Bentgrass is used on the putting surfaces which will be a delight for many of the worlds best ball strikers , they are however tiny in size and well-defended by bunkers. Expect to see another low scoring birdie feast . Player will need to be dialled in T2G and on approach play specifically. I expect this to be another week where the scores better 20 under par.

 

There are five Par-3 holes and three Par-5 holes on the course. The par 4’s on the course also vary massively. Some par 5’s measure up over 500 yards and other under 400 yards. A fun course for the players to get stuck into this week.

 

Collin Morikawa, Xander Schauffele, Hideki Matsuyama, and Sungjae Im lead the field. All four of those top-ranked players competed in the CJ Cup in Las Vegas on Sunday. Morikawa and Rickie Fowler tied for third place after Fowler led by 54 hole, before our man Rory surged clear on the back 9.

 

Let’s see what we have for this week key skill sets and picks.

 

5 Key Skills Set Required

  1. SG T2G  – A new course for many players this week and those that have seen it previously will be for 4 rounds only in 2019. I expect that this course will demand solid T2G performance, and to win these low scoring affairs, quite simply you need to be playing well T2G. I will be looking for players in good event form with their overall T2G game.
  2. Driving Accuracy Looking at the data we can see that Driving Accurately is of huge importance, this weeks track is short by PGA Tour standards and the defense of the course come in the form of dog legs left and right. The Par 5’s will favour those with a natural draw on there second shots. Hitting the right part of the fairways this week will open up those pins and that’s the type of player I’m looking to find.
  3. SG ApproachExpect a low scoring affair this week, I want players who have a proven track record of hitting it close with their iron shots. The data shows that these low scoring events in the Far East put a premium on approach play and this is expected to be the case this week at the Narashino Country Club.
  4. Par 3 Scoring With 5 of them to look forward to and 3 of those on the front nine it’s clear Par 3 scoring will play a key part in determining the outcome of this event. Iron play will be a key factor in determining the winner of this event come Sunday evening.
  5. SG puttingWe are on the pristine Bentgrass putting surface this week, and there are players who simply love this putting surface. I will be looking at players with wins to, their name on this surface some of the best ball strikers in the world come alive of this grass and that brings a few players into the mix who would be overlooked or other weeks.

Zozo Championship 2021 Videos

Zozo Championship 2021 Picks

Best Outsiders

Player

Sung Kang

  • Plenty of experience in Asia playing golf in the humid conditions the players face this week.
  • Gained strokes in approach play in 5 of the last 6 events.
  • Gained strokes putting in 5 of the last 6 events.
  • Has potential for a low round of 62/63.
  • Odds were expected to be 100/1 max.
Odds +12500
Sportsbook

Best Outright Picks

Player

Will Zalatorias

  • 3rd in my overall model for the week.
  • 2nd Par 3 scoring- 5 pars 3’s on this weeks layout.
  • 7th SG off the tee over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • 8th SG T2G over the past 24 rounds.
  • 7th SG Proximity to the hole last 24 rounds
Odds +2000
Sportsbook

Top 20

Player

Will Zalatorias

  • 3rd in my overall model for the week.
  • 2nd Par 3 scoring- 5 pars 3’s on this weeks layout.
  • 7th SG off the tee over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • 8th SG T2G over the past 24 rounds.
  • 7th SG Proximity to the hole last 24 rounds
Odds 125
Sportsbook

Zozo Championship 2021 Betting Strategies & Previews

ZOZO Championship Betting Underdogs
10/20/2021
ZOZO Championship Betting Preview
10/20/2021
ZOZO Championship Betting Favorites
10/19/2021

Zozo Championship 2021 Betting Analysis

Zozo Championship 2021 Picks

Best Outsider Picks

Player

Sung Kang

  • Plenty of experience in Asia playing golf in the humid conditions the players face this week.
  • Gained strokes in approach play in 5 of the last 6 events.
  • Gained strokes putting in 5 of the last 6 events.
  • Has potential for a low round of 62/63.
  • Odds were expected to be 100/1 max.
Odds +12500
Sportsbook

Player

Mackenzie Hughes 

  • 8 cuts made from the last 8 events shows the consistency in his all round game.
  • Gained strokes putting in his last 7 events on tour.
  • Putts his best statistically on the Bentgrass putting surface he faces this week.
Odds +6600
Sportsbook

Player

Matt Wallace 

  • 11th SG off the tee over the past 24 rounds shows a slight return to form.
  • 11th SG T2G over the past 24 rounds.
  • Gained strokes in all key departments, off the tee, approach, around the green and putting at the Shriners. The last time he did that was May 2021. Good signs his game is on the up.
Odds +6600
Sportsbook

Best Outright Picks

Player

Will Zalatorias

  • 3rd in my overall model for the week.
  • 2nd Par 3 scoring- 5 pars 3’s on this weeks layout.
  • 7th SG off the tee over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • 8th SG T2G over the past 24 rounds.
  • 7th SG Proximity to the hole last 24 rounds
Odds +2000
Sportsbook

Player

Henrik Norlander

  • 7th in my overall model for the week.
  • 7th Strokes gained T2G over the last 24 rounds
  • 7th Strokes gained approach play last 24 rounds 
  • Top 20 in fairways found and Par 3 scoring, lot’s to like about his chances this week
Odds +8000
Sportsbook

Player

KH Lee

  • 1st SG off the tee over the last 24 rounds.
  • 5th SG T2G over the past 24 rounds
  • 10th  Faiways gained over the past 24 rounds
  • Top 20 in approach play and par 3 scoring of which there are 5 holes this week.
Odds +5000
Sportsbook

Player

Jonathan Vegas

  • 2nd SG T2G last 24 rounds
  • 2nd SG driving distance over the last 24 rounds.
  • 9th SG approach the last 24 rounds on tour
  • 4th SG Par 5 scoring  
  • 20th in my overall model for the week makes him a fair play and will be consider for top20 market which he has an outstanding chance in
Odds +3500
Sportsbook

Zozo Championship 2021 Betting Strategies & Previews

ZOZO Championship Betting Underdogs
10/20/2021
ZOZO Championship Betting Preview
10/20/2021
ZOZO Championship Betting Favorites
10/19/2021

Zozo Championship 2021 Picks

Best Top 20 Picks

Player

Will Zalatorias

  • 3rd in my overall model for the week.
  • 2nd Par 3 scoring- 5 pars 3’s on this weeks layout.
  • 7th SG off the tee over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • 8th SG T2G over the past 24 rounds.
  • 7th SG Proximity to the hole last 24 rounds
Odds 125
Sportsbook

Player

Jonathan Vegas

  • 2nd SG T2G last 24 rounds
  • 2nd SG driving distance over the last 24 rounds.
  • 9th SG approach the last 24 rounds on tour
  • 4th SG Par 5 scoring  
  • 20th in my overall model for the week makes him a fair play and will be consider for top20 market which he has an outstanding chance in
Odds +110
Sportsbook

Player

Keegan Bradley

  • 8th in my overall model for the week.
  • 3rd SG T2G over the past 24 rounds.
  • Top 20 in Driving Distance, proximity to the hole and approach play.
  • His weakness putting is strongest on Bentgrass putting surfaces he faces this week.
Odds +130
Sportsbook

Zozo Championship 2021 Betting Analysis

Zozo Championship 2021 Betting Strategies & Previews

ZOZO Championship Betting Underdogs
10/20/2021
ZOZO Championship Betting Preview
10/20/2021
ZOZO Championship Betting Favorites
10/19/2021

Zozo Championship 2021 Betting Analysis

3 Ball Picks

Player

Doug Ghim to beat Shaun Norris & Troy Merit

Odds 6/4
Sportsbook

Player

Jonny Vegas to beat Luke List & J Kozuma

Odds 11/10
Sportsbook

Zozo Championship 2021 Picks

Zozo Championship 2021 Betting Strategies & Previews

ZOZO Championship Betting Underdogs
10/20/2021
ZOZO Championship Betting Preview
10/20/2021
ZOZO Championship Betting Favorites
10/19/2021

Zozo Championship 2021 Picks

3 Ball Picks

Player

Tommy Fleetwood to beat Brandon Steel & Joaquin Neimann

Odds 7/5
Sportsbook

Player

Chris Kirk to beat Adam Long & Y Inamori

Odds 6/5
Sportsbook

Zozo Championship 2021 Betting Analysis

Zozo Championship 2021 Betting Strategies & Previews

ZOZO Championship Betting Underdogs
10/20/2021
ZOZO Championship Betting Preview
10/20/2021
ZOZO Championship Betting Favorites
10/19/2021

Zozo Championship 2021 Picks

2 Ball Picks

Player

Sebastian Munoz to beat Hideki Matsuyama & Cameron Tringale

Odds 5/2
Sportsbook

Player

Luke List to beat Wyndham Clarke & J.Niemann

Odds 2/1
Sportsbook

Player

Harry Higgs to beat Ryan Palmer & T. Otsuki

Odds 7/4
Sportsbook

Zozo Championship 2021 Betting Analysis

Zozo Championship 2021 Betting Strategies & Previews

ZOZO Championship Betting Underdogs
10/20/2021
ZOZO Championship Betting Preview
10/20/2021
ZOZO Championship Betting Favorites
10/19/2021

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