Gingerbets Insights & Picks

Zozo Championship

Course & Location:

Accordia Golf Narashino Country Club, Japan, Chiba

Dates:

Oct 13th - 16th 2022

Purse:

$9.95 Million

Par:

70/ Yardage 7,024

Fairways:

Bentgrass

Greens:

Bentgrass

Zozo Championship Videos

Zozo Championship Picks

Best Underdog Pick

Matthew NeSmith
  • Arrives on the back of a second placed finish last week.
  • This is a ball striking test and that what NeSmith does best.
  • Ranked 9TH SG Approach play over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Ranked 10th SG T2G over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • His putting is his weakness for sure. However, he has gained strokes putting in each of hi last 5 events and last week on his least favorite surface which he encounters again this week. Can he keep the momentum going? At odds like this I’m prepared to find out.
Odds 50/1 + 5000

Best Favorite Pick

Collin Morikawa
  • A Player who fit the bill perfectly for the test ahead. If this week is about Iron play then Collin is our man
  • Ranked 2nd for SG Approach play over the past 50 rounds on tour.
  • Ranked 4th for proximity to the hole over the last 50 rounds, iron play will be crucial this week.
  • Ranked 7th for par 3 scoring over the past 50 rounds on tour.
  • Ranked 8th for SG Ball striking over the past 50 rounds.
  • On courses with difficult fairways to hit like this week, Collin Ranks No 1 SG T2G.
Odds 14/1 + 1400

Best Top 20 Pick

Si Woo Kim
  • Arrives of the back of a top 10 last week, I am willing to give him another go after he return a profit for each way players last week.
  • One of the best drivers on tour, ranked in the top 20 for fairways gained over the past 36 rounds.
  • One of the most underrated short games on tour, he has gained strokes vs the field around the green in each of his last 7 events.
  • Has a top-class iron game, hits plenty of GIR.
  • The one drawback is his putting, however he raked in the top 20 last week for SG Putting.
Odds 1/1 +100/td>

First Round Leader Picks

Tyrell Hatton
Odds 33/1 +3300

Matthew NeSmith
Odds 50/1 +5000

Best First Day 3 Ball Matchup

Collin Morikawa to beat Munoz & Hughes
Odds 13/10 +130

Zozo Championship Betting Strategies & Previews

ZoZo Championship 2022 Betting Underdogs
10/11/2022
ZoZo Championship 2022 Betting Favorites
10/11/2022

Fantasy Golf Players

One & Done – Best Outright

Collin Morikawa
  • A Player who fit the bill perfectly for the test ahead. If this week is about Iron play then Collin is our man
  • Ranked 2nd for SG Approach play over the past 50 rounds on tour.
  • Ranked 4th for proximity to the hole over the last 50 rounds, iron play will be crucial this week.
  • Ranked 7th for par 3 scoring over the past 50 rounds on tour.
  • Ranked 8th for SG Ball striking over the past 50 rounds.
  • On courses with difficult fairways to hit like this week, Collin Ranks No 1 SG T2G
$11,300

Salary Cap is $11k to $12k

Best Plays

Sung jea Im

Tom Kim

$11,700

$11,100

Best Fades

Hideki Matsuyama

Xander Schauffele

$11,600

$12,000

Salary Cap $9k – $11k

Best Plays

Si Woo Kim

Tyrell Hatton  

Mito Pereira 

$10,200

$10,200

$9,700

Best Fades

JJ Spaun

Scott Stalling

Sepp Straka

$9,100

$9,600

$9,800

Sub $9k

Sleepers

Kurt Kitayama

Aaron Rai 

$8,500

$8,300

Hidden Gems

Value Plays

Adam Svennson

Joel Dahmen  

Patrick Rodgers

$8,700

$7,900

$8,000

Zozo Championship 2022 Overview

 

A select field of 80 makes the journey to Japan for this week’s Zozo Championship taking place at Accordia Golf Narashino Country Club. Hideki Matsuyama heads over to his homeland to defend his title from last year, Hideki also finished runner-up at this course in 2020, it was notable that year when the field was extremely strong that the best ball strikers in the world held the top 5 places, Rory, Tiger, SungJea and Woodland. I expect we will see something similar this week on a course that rewards world-class iron play.

 

We don’t have the best field lining up this week, not helped by the fact the CJ Cup is back in South Carolina the following week at Congaree Country Club.

 

The Accordia Golf Narashino Country Club, which first opened its doors in 1965, is a small course with forgiving tree-lined fairways. Two greens per hole are a Japanese practice that arose from a requirement to maintain diverse grasses for changeable weather many years before developments in agrostology. Individual greens, on the other hand, are small, requiring precision short irons and approach shots to set up birdie possibilities. Lines off the tee appear to be rather claustrophobic in this tree-lined layout. There are six doglegs to offer variation, but the rough this week appears to be rather light so could driving distance be more important than accuracy. There are five Par-3 holes and three Par-5 holes on the course. The par 4’s on the course also vary massively. Some par 4’s measure up over 500 yards and others under 400 yards. Bentgrass is used on the putting surfaces which will be a delight for many of the world’s best ball-striker, they are however tiny in size and well-defended by bunkers, so short-game expertise will play its part. Expect to see another low-scoring birdie feast this fall season. I expect this to be another week where the scores are better than 18 under par. Overall a fun course for the players to get stuck into this week.

 

Let’s see what we have for this week’s key skill sets and picks.

 

 

Key Skill Sets Required

    1. SG T2G – On a course with little to no data to go off it makes sense to start our key skill set required with the ball striking metric of T2G performance. The fall season is now in its fourth week and I want players in my portfolio who have shown each club in the bag is working to a solid standard. Looking at the 2020 leaderboard it appears to me ball striking is the overriding attribute required to thrive at this track.
    2. SG Approach play – It struck me as the single biggest factor this week when looking at the leaderboard from 2020 where Tiger was victorious. The top 10 included Tiger, Rory, Sungjea, Conners, Woodland, Xander and Billy Ho, all of which we associated with great ball strikers.
    3. GIR – 4 of the top 8 players ranked in the top for GIR gained in 2020, I expect similar this week. In addition Given the importance of putting this week, it makes sense to consider players who are hitting plenty of greens in regulation and therefore giving themselves plenty of outside birdie looks and the chance to roll in plenty of putts.
    4. PAR 3 Scoring – 20 Par 3 holes from 72 face the players this week that’s a whopping 28% of all holes played. It makes sense that we focus on this key skill set. This ties into the overall narrative that iron play is the single most important factor this week, well that is certainly how I’m attacking the week.
    5. Putting – This week I will be looking for players that show a tendency to put well on the Bentgrass greens, and when making my final picks I will pay close attention to putting performance.

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