Gingerbets Insights & Picks

Zurich Classic 2022

Course & Location:
TPC Louisiana, Avondale, LA
Dates:
22 -25 April 2022
Purse:
$7.4 Million
Par:
72 / Yardage 7,425
Fairways:
Bermudagrass
Greens:
Bermudagrass

Zurich Classic 2022 Overview

 

The 2022 Zurich Classic. The fifth edition of the Zurich Classic at TPC Louisiana is the PGA TOUR’s only two-man team event, making evaluating the Zurich Classic odds a unique challenge.

 

Since switching to a team format in 2017, the event has been enhanced and has been a huge success. With four-balls (Best Ball) on Thursday and Saturday and foursomes (Alternate Shot) on Friday and Sunday, the tournament format lends itself to great viewing.

 

With the market’s shape and the tournament’s unpredictability, bettors may not feel as confident or optimistic. However, course form should be revisited, and players with proven results here and on Pete Dye designs can tag-team their way to the top of the leaderboard.

 

I will be looking to players who are showing signs of current form, particularly paying attention to T2G performance of recent weeks and Approach play. Going to have to make plenty of birdies this week and having the backbone of your game in shape will be crucial.

 

TPC Louisiana is a Pete Dye-designed 7,400-yard Par-72 course in Avondale, Louisiana. If TPC courses are known for their entertainment, Pete Dye courses are known for their emphasis on positional angles off the tee and around the green. There are some persistent bunkers and some fun, random hazards, such as trees in the centre of the fairway with Dye’s hands all over them, but there are also plenty of scoring opportunities on this course. The greens at TPC Louisiana are Bermuda with Poa overseed. It’s a great course for this type of event. The players who team up well on Friday & Sunday in the foursomes format will have a improved chance of success.

 

Format

In Four-Ball play, each player on each team will play his own ball for the duration of the round, with the best score on each hole recorded. For instance, on the first hole, both golfers from each team tee off. Player A pars the hole, while Player B makes a birdie. The team will be awarded a birdie.

 

Tee shots will be rotated during Foursomes play. One player will hit tee shots on all of the odd-numbered holes, while the other will hit tee shots on all of the even-numbered holes. Player A and Player B are partners, for example. Player A tees off on the first hole; Player B plays the second shot; Player A plays the third shot; and so on until the ball is holed.

  • Thursday: Four-Ball
  • Friday: Foursomes
  • Saturday: Four-Ball
  • Sunday: Foursomes

While running models and predictions this week will prove difficult we do have some stats and correlating course to look at in an attempt to breakdown the possible winners. Stay tuned in below for my keys skill sets required and those all important outright selections.

 

 

Key Skills Set Required

    1. Pete Dye designed course form – Austin Country Club – WGC Dell Matchplay since 2016 ,Crooked Stick – 2012 and 2016 BMW Championship, Ocean Course – Kiawah Island – 2012 PGA Championship, TPC River Highlands – The Travelers, TPC Louisiana – Zurich Classic of New Orleans, TPC Sawgrass – The Players Championship, TPC Stadium, PGA West – The American Express since 2016 and Whistling Straits – 2010 and 2015 PGA Championship to name just a few.
    2. SG T2G – The foundations required to be successful on technical tests like this start with SG T2G performance. I like to look at the last 24, 36 rounds to understand which players are playing clean golf from the tee box to the green. Harbour Town will test players off the tee and with their approach shots and the best T2G players on the week will climb that leaderboard. Those playing best T2G should have plenty of birdie opportunities in the fourball format.
    3. GIR gained – Players who play the percentages by hitting high percentage of GIR can thrive in all formats of team golf especially in the foursomes format on Friday and Sunday. Players who are constantly hitting their targets can be dangerous in this format.
    4. Par 4 Birdies or Better – The fourball format played on Thursday & Saturday will demand birdies for the players. We want to look at those players who have it dialled in with there iron play creating plenty of opportunities. Players who excel on Pete Dye tracks should be given extra respect as his courses have similar tendencies.
    5. SG Putting – The team format this week will certainly put an emphasis on putting in any type of match play whether that be fore-balls or foursomes putting plays a significant factor. Weaknesses in other areas of the game can be covered up by an incredible putting performance. When building a portfolio this week we want to consider teams who have lots of upside in their putting potential.

Zurich Classic 2022 Videos

Zurich Classic 2022 Picks

Best Outsider Pick

Doug Ghim & Matthias Schwab
  • Ghim rank in the top 20 in approach play on Pete Dye tracks over the past 36 rounds.
  • Schwab 3 top 10 finishes in his last 5 events, his most consistent stretch on the PGA Tour.
  • Schwab gained strokes on approach in his last 7 events shows his iron game is on point right now. Also gains strokes T2G in his last 7 events worldwide.
  • Schwab gained stroke putting 6 of his last 7 events.
  • I expect this pair to outrun their odds this week
Odds 50.1 +5000
Sportsbook

Best Outright Pick

Viktor Hovland & Collin Morikawa
  • Top ranked team in the competition.
  • Hovland lead the SG Approach stats over the past 36 rounds on tour. Collin also renowned for his elite iron play. In the Fourball format these two will be a tough act to pass.
  • They rank in the top 5 in the field for Birdie or Better percentage a key factor in the fourball format.
  • They also rank in the top 5 for SG total across all key skill set areas which should stand them well in both formats of play this week.
Odds 8.1 +800
Sportsbook

First Round Leader

Adam Hadwin & Adam Svensson
 
Odds 40.1 +4000
Sportsbook

Martin Laird & Robert MacIntyre
 
Odds 45.1 +4500
Sportsbook

Zurich Classic 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Zurich Classic of New Orleans Betting Favorites
04/19/2022

Zurich Classic 2022 Betting Analysis

Zurich Classic 2022 Picks

Best Outsider Picks

Doug Ghim & Matthias Schwab
  • Ghim rank in the top 20 in approach play on Pete Dye tracks over the past 36 rounds.
  • Schwab 3 top 10 finishes in his last 5 events, his most consistent stretch on the PGA Tour.
  • Schwab gained strokes on approach in his last 7 events shows his iron game is on point right now. Also gains strokes T2G in his last 7 events worldwide.
  • Schwab gained stroke putting 6 of his last 7 events.
  • I expect this pair to outrun their odds this week
Odds 50.1 +5000
Sportsbook

Aaron Rai & David Lipskey
  • Ranked combined in the top 10 for birdie or better stats over the past 36 rounds on tour. This will be an important stat in the fourball format played on two of the days.
  • Rai has gained stroke with approach play in 5 of his last 6 events showing the iron game is in a good place.
  • Rai is one of the most accurate drivers on tour and this will play important role in the alternative shot format played on Friday & Sunday.
Odds 80.1 +8000
Sportsbook

Maverick McNealy & Joseph Bramlett
  • Bramlett arrive in rude health finishing with a 7 under par 64 at the RBC last week. He ranked inside the top 10 for SG off the tee which is sure to benefit him in both formats if he brings that game with him this week.
  • McNealy will be suited by the shorter strategic layout this week.
  • Bramlett has gained strokes in approach play in 6 of his last 8 events.
  • McNealy has gained strokes putting in 4 of his last 5 events.
  • Combined they rank in the top 20 for birdie or better gained over the past 36 rounds.
  • This team can outrun their odds this week.
Odds 70.1 +7000
Sportsbook

Best Outright Pick

Viktor Hovland & Collin Morikawa
  • Top ranked team in the competition.
  • Hovland lead the SG Approach stats over the past 36 rounds on tour. Collin also renowned for his elite iron play. In the Fourball format these two will be a tough act to pass.
  • They rank in the top 5 in the field for Birdie or Better percentage a key factor in the fourball format.
  • They also rank in the top 5 for SG total across all key skill set areas which should stand them well in both formats of play this week.
Odds 8.1 +800
Sportsbook

Billy Horschel & Sam Burns
  • Billy 7th SG Total over the past 36 rounds on Pete Dye tracks and showed some positive signs with all areas of game right now.
  • Sam Burns is possibly the most improved player on tour other than Scottie over the past 12 months.
  • Burns ranks in the top 10 for SG approach, SG Total, SG T2G over the past 36 rounds.
  • Both excellent putters on their day, both solid T2G players who should be competitive in every round this week. Expecting a storm performance from this pairing.
Odds 10.1 +1000
Sportsbook

Zurich Classic 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Zurich Classic of New Orleans Betting Favorites
04/19/2022

Zurich Classic 2022 Picks

Best Top 20 Picks

Adam Hadwin & Adam Svensson
  • Svensson playing the best golf of his career right now.
  • Svensson gaining strokes in 6 of his last 7 events with approach play, a birdie machine who is sure to go well in the fourball on Thursday & Saturday.
  • Hadwin sits in the top 10 for SG T2G & Approach play over the past 36 rounds on tour.
  • Hadwin arrives on the back of 3 top 10’s in his last 4 starts.
  • Fellow countryman who should dovetail well and make a push for the top title a top 20 seems a great bet.
Odds 6.5 +120
Sportsbook

Aaron Rai & David Lipskey
  • Ranked combined in the top 10 for birdie or better stats over the past 36 rounds on tour. This will be an important stat in the fourball format played on two of the days.
  • Rai has gained stroke with approach play in 5 of his last 6 events showing the iron game is in a good place.
  • Rai is one of the most accurate drivers on tour and this will play important role in the alternative shot format played on Friday & Sunday.
Odds 9.4 +225
Sportsbook

Zurich Classic 2022 Betting Analysis

Zurich Classic 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Zurich Classic of New Orleans Betting Favorites
04/19/2022

Zurich Classic 2022 Betting Analysis

Day 1 – 2 Balls

Players

Adam Svensson & Adam Hadwin to beat Ryan Moore & Matthew NeSmith

Odds 10.11 -110
Sportsbook

Players

Alex Noren & Henrick Norlander to beat Sam Horsfield & Matt Wallace

Odds 4.5 -125
Sportsbook

Players

Doug Ghim & Matthias Schwab to beat Harry Higgs & Austin Smotherman

Odds 5.6 -120
Sportsbook

Zurich Classic 2022 Picks

Zurich Classic 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Zurich Classic of New Orleans Betting Favorites
04/19/2022

Zurich Classic 2022 Picks

Half Way – 2 Ball Picks

Players

Todd & Kirk to beat IM & An

Odds 21.20 +105
Sportsbook

Players

Bradley and Steel to beat Gligic & Amour

Odds 4.6 -150
Sportsbook

Players

Cantley & Xander to beat Rai & Lipsky

Odds 11.20 -182
Sportsbook

Zurich Classic 2022 Betting Analysis

Zurich Classic 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Zurich Classic of New Orleans Betting Favorites
04/19/2022

Zurich Classic 2022 Picks

Final Day 2 Balls

Players

Bradley & Steel to beat Redman & Ryder

Odds 4.5 -125
Sportsbook

Players

Burns & Horschel to beat Day & Scrivener

Odds 13.20 -154
Sportsbook

Zurich Classic 2022 Betting Analysis

Zurich Classic 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Zurich Classic of New Orleans Betting Favorites
04/19/2022

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