If you think the dunk contest had some air-time last week, wait until you see how far the boys will be hitting it this week in Mexico City.  With the USGA/R&A study out a couple weeks ago decrying how far the ball is traveling, they may want to look away this week.  You, however, will not.  Sitting over a mile above sea level, Chapultepec Golf Club will show off the PGA’s version of a long drive contest.  Last year in the event, Justin Thomas hit a 457yard drive on the 10th hole.  That wasn’t enough to help him win though.

Dustin Johnson walked away with the trophy last year despite not cracking the top 10 in long drives.  He comes into this week after playing really well at Riviera and finishing just 4 shots behind Adam Scott.  Despite the good finish last week and being the defending champion, Dustin sits behind world number 1 Rory McIlroy as the odds-on favorite to win this week. I like them both to finish high on the leaderboard this week despite a stacked field.  Tiger will take the week off to rest and hopefully find his swing again after a rough weekend as host last week.

Now on to fantasy picks. (Note this week there is no cut so all your guys will likely get 4 rounds of scoring unless they withdraw or get a DQ for trying to build sandcastles like Patrick Reed).

Tier 1:

Dustin Johnson (DK $11,000): Rory may be the favorite to win by Vegas this year, but DJ has won 2 of the last 3 years and finished in the top 10 in 2018.  He’s playing well right now so I cannot in good conscience pick against him.  Rory finished second last year so don’t count him out, but I’ll save the $500 difference in DraftKings budget and go with a guy that owns this course. 

Webb Simpson (DK $9,800): Full transparency, I’m almost always going to pick Webb if he is in the field right now.  In 5 events this year, he has finished in the top 10 in all 5.  That’s insane from a guy the average golf fan likely couldn’t pick out of a lineup.  I have one concern with Webb and its that he hasn’t played great here the last couple of years.  It is hard to balance course history vs a hot streak but, in this case, I’m going to ride the hot guy as long as I can. That came out wrong, but you know what I mean.

Tier 2:

Sergio Garcia (DK $8,600): He has played most of his events in Europe this year but looked solid at Riviera last week, everywhere except on the Poa Annua greens.  With this week’s track having Bermuda greens, hopefully, this gives Sergio the chance to put it all together.  I don’t know that he can win, but he has played well here in the past so a top 10 seems reasonable.

Collin Morikawa (DK $8,500): This young gun will be one to watch for the next several years.  He can put up some really low numbers and has a swing to envy.  With two top 10s this year and 9/9 cuts made, I think he can finish in the top half of the field and even make a run at the trophy. 

Long Shots:

Byeong Hun An (DK $7,400): An is a boom or bust pick, but without a cut this week I like to give him a shot here.  He has 4 top 10 finishes so far and it is early in the season.  Why the doubt?  He also has 3 finishes at the very bottom of the field. 

Billy Horschel (DK $7,300):  Billy typically performs decently on Bermuda greens and had a decent showing here last year.  He seems to be battling a funk, playing well on Thursday and Friday then falling apart on the weekend.  A few years removed from winning the Fed Ex Cup, I have confidence he can find his closing abilities again.

Carlos Ortiz (DK $6,600): Carlos will be under a lot of pressure as he tees it up in his home country.  He has had some flashes of top skills in the past and the crowd will likely be hyping him up all week.  If he can channel that energy in the right direction, it would be a great story to see him finish near the top with some of the best in the world.

Good luck this week and hit ‘em straight.