Gingerbets Insights & Picks

John Deere Classic 2022

Course & Location:

TPC Deere Run, Silvis, IL

Dates:

30 June - 3 July 2022

Purse:

$6.2 million

Par:

71 / Yardage 7,268

Fairways:

Kentucky Bluegrass

Greens:

Bentgrass

John Deere Classic 2022 Videos

John Deere Classic 2022 Picks

Best Underdog Pick

Tyler Pendrith
  • Some good finishes in high class events recently, 13th at The Players, 16th at the Farmers and 25th at The Honda.
  • Gained strokes in a all key skill set areas last time out.
  • Ranked in the top 20 for Par 3 scoring and SG total over the past 24 rounds on tour.
  • Ranked in the top 20% for GIR gained over the past 24 rounds on tour.
Odds 80/1 +8000

Best Favorite Pick

Steve Stricker
  • In good form with a 2ND place at the US Senior Open last week, shooting 6 under par on the final day.
  • A 3-time winner of this event in 2009, 2010, 2011 with 4 other top 10 finishes.
  • A superb driver of the ball which will be advantageous here as the only defense for the course is the rough.
  • A quality putter who can roll his rock as good as any in the field this week
Odds 80/1 +8000

Best Top 20 Pick

Adam Long
    • 3 Top 20 finishes and in his last 7 starts.
    • A lot more consistency in his game right now and putting well.
    • Ranked 2nd SG putting last week at The Travelers.
    • Ranked 1st GIR gained over the past 24 rounds.
    • Ranked 5th SG T2G over the past 24 rounds.
Odds 8/5 +165

First Round Leader Picks

Steve Stricker
Odds 66/1 +6600

Joseph Bramlett
Odds 100/1 +10000

John Deere Classic 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Joseph Bramlett Betting Tips & Odds to Win The 2022 John Deere Classic – June 30 – July 3
07/01/2022
Adam Long Betting Tips & Odds to Win The 2022 John Deere Classic – June 30 – July 3
07/01/2022

Fantasy Golf Players

One & Done – Best Outright

Cam Davis
  • 2 top 10s in his last 6 starts shows his game is close.
  • Gained strokes with approach play in each of his last 9 events.
  • Gained strokes putting in each of his last 8 events.
  • Ranked 1st par 3 scoring over the last 24 rounds.
  • Ranked 11th bogey avoidance over the last 24 rounds.
$10,300  

Salary Cap is $11k to $12k

Best Plays

Adam Hadwin

Denny McCarthy

$11,700

$11,200

Best Fades

Webb Simpson

Jason Day

$12,000

$11,400

Salary Cap is $9k to $11k

Best Plays

Cam Davis

Patrick Rodgers

Adam Svensson

$10,300

$10,700

$9,800

Best Fades

CT Pan

Emiliano Grilliano

Anirban Lahiri

$9,700

$9,600

$9,400

Sub $9k

Sleepers

Steve StriCker

Nate Lashley

$8,900

$8,900

Hidden Gems

Value Plays

Matt Wallace

Joseph Bramlett

Mark Hubbard

$8,500

$8,200

$9,000

John Deere Classic 2022 Overview

 

The Players head to Illinois this week for a drop in quality in terms of course and field strength. In fact, 5 of the last 10 winners here have been first-time PGA Tour winners. Illinois native and former PGA pro D.A. Weibring designed TPC Deere Run, which is located along the Rock River and has hosted the PGA TOUR event since 2000.

 

Along the course’s natural contours, there are also little ponds and deep ravines; however, from a risk perspective, these don’t really come into play. There are no residences here at TPC Deere Run. Still, there is a beautiful landscape, a dramatic shift in elevation, hardwood trees, and lots of risk/reward hitting into smaller than typical TOUR greens. This typical resort course is picturesque to the eye but not overly challenging, especially to a player at the top of their game. The easy challenge is backed up by winning scores of 18, 21, 22 & 27 under par over the past four years, and we can expect very much the same this week. I would be shocked if the winning score wasn’t better than 20 under par.

 

The TPC Deere Run course cannot be attacked without planning, so it’s not all plain sailing. Players will need to make plenty of birdies, that’s for sure, if they want any chance of a top 10. The fairways are where to make birdies; players who play the majority of shots from the short grass will be at an advantage. TPC Deere Run’s main challenge is from the rough. Hitting greens from the rough is one of the course’s main defensives.

 

Let’s break down the key skill sets required and bring you those all important outright selections.

 

 

John Deere Classic 2022 Key Skills Set Required

    1. SG T2G – With a super low winning score, expect T2G performance to be critical as it is most weeks on the PGA Tour. Players will need to be gaining strokes over their competitors to have any chance of lifting the trophy come Sunday.
    2. Fairways Gained/Good Drives Gained – This course poses very few challenges to the world’s best players by PGA Tour standards. However, one statical area stands out: the difficulty of approach play when missing the fairways. TPC Deere Run is one of the most challenging courses on tour for approach play from the rough. Hitting fairways and plenty of them is a distinct advantage. Look for players who excel when it comes to driving the ball.
    3. Par 4 Scoring – Quite simply, to win this event, you must make lots of birdies, and you must dominate the Par 4’s. Players who contend here take advantage of one of the most straightforward courses on the tour regarding Par 4 scoring.
    4. Birdies or Better – The data tells us you need to make plenty of birdies here at TPC Deere Run, at least 6 per round or over 24 from the four days of play. A birdie every three holes is some ask, but that is the requirement to challenge. Let’s look for those aggressive golfers who look to attack the pins and have the ability to get up and down when naturally they miss a green or two.
    5. SG Putting – Typically, putting is a critical factor in these low-scoring events. You must be rolling your rock good over all four days to have any chance of taking home the trophy. Look for players who excel on the Bentgrass putting surfaces the players face this week.

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