Gingerbets Insights & Picks

BMW Championship 2022

Course & Location:

Wilmington Country Club, Delaware

Dates:

18 - 21 Aug 2022

Purse:

$15 Million

Par:

71 / Yardage 7,534

Fairways:

Bentgrass

Greens:

Bentgrass

BMW Championship 2022 Videos

BMW Championship 2022 Picks

Best Underdog Pick

Cam Davis
  • 4 top 20 finishes in his last 4 events.
  • Gained strokes Off The Tee in each of his last 6 events worldwide, this will be a key stat in my view this week.
  • Gained strokes with Approach play in 12 of his last 13 events, the comfort levels with iron in hand are as good as they can be. On this demanding layout, this is sure to be advantageous.
  • Putts his best on the Bentgrass he faces this week, gained strokes with the flat stick in 9 of his last 11 events.
  • Trending in the right direction I expect a huge performance.
Odds 66/1 +6600

Best Favorite Pick

Jon Rahm
  • His price is a fair one given the talent he possesses; he is often far too short in the betting.
  • Despite the downturn in form, a fundamental part of the success here at Wilmington Country Club is driving and Jon Ranks 1st in SG Off The Tee over the past 24 rounds showing his long game is still the best in the world.
  • His ranked in the TOP 10 last week for SG Approach, OTT & GIR gained, his price is to big for me this week given the talent he possesses.
  • His is ranked 8th in GIR Gained over the past 24 rounds.
  • Despite being a little away from his best, the course this week should suit and given the prize money, the world number 6 should be highly motivated to end the year on a high.
Odds 14/1 + 1400

Best Top 20 Pick

Keith Mitchell
  • Had a consistent 2022 and showed signed his game is still there in the last few weeks at the Wyndham & St Jude.
  • Ranked in the top 20% Off the Tee last week, 9th in Driving Accuracy & 16th Driving Distance, if he can provide that platform again this week, he has the iron game to contend.
  • One of the best short games around which will come into play on this demanding track.
  • One of the best short games on tour Ranked 7th SG Scrambling over the past 24 rounds on tour, a key skill required this week on this demanding layout.
  • Putts well on the surfaces he faces this week.
Odds 15/8 +185

First Round Leader Picks

Joaquin Niemann
Odds 33/1 +3300

Collin Morikawa
Odds 28/1 +2800

BMW Championship 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Cameron Davis Betting Tips & Odds to Win The 2022 BMW Championship – August 18-21
08/16/2022
Matthew Fitzpatrick Betting Tips & Odds to Win The 2022 BMW Championship – August 18-21
08/16/2022
Keith Mitchell Betting Tips & Odds to Win The 2022 BMW Championship – August 18-21
08/16/2022

Fantasy Golf Players

One & Done – Best Outright

Matt Fitzpatrick
  • A Major Champion who will be relishing the opportunity to take on the world’s best in the form of his life.
  • Arrives on the back of a TOP 10 last week, where a cold putter cost him a shot at the championship.
  • A super driver of the ball, one of the most accurate teeing it up this week, and also one of the longest now. Ranked 5TH last week for SG OTT, this stat will be vital this week.
  • Ranked in the top 10 for GIR gained over the past 36 rounds on tour a key factor coming into this week.
  • In the form of his life, on a course that should suit, he is a must bet at the top of the Market for me.
$10,800  

Salary Cap is $11k to $12k

Best Plays

Rory Mcllroy

Jon Rahm

Tony Finau

$11,800

$11,400

$11,000

Best Fades

Justin Thomas

Scottie Scheffler

$11,200

$11,500

Salary Cap $9k – $11k

Best Plays

Matt Fitzpatrick

Will Zalatoris

Collin Morikawa

Sunjea Im

$10,800

$10,900

$10,600

$10,100

Best Fades

Hideki Matsuyama

Shane Lowry

Billy Horschell

$9,900

$10,000

$9,700

Sub $9k

Sleepers

Cam Davis

Kieth Mitchell

Si Woo Kim

$8,900

$8,600

$8,500

Hidden Gems

Value Plays

Scott Stalling

Harold Varner

Wyndham Clark

$8,200

$8,300

$7,600

BMW Championship 2022 Overview

 

The 2022 BMW Championship will be played on the South Course at Wilmington Country Club in Wilmington, Delaware. The 2022 event will mark the first time the PGA TOUR has played an event in Delaware, and it will be the third time since 2018 that the BMW Championship has been held on the East Coast.

 

Wilmington Country Club first opened its doors in 1901, with 18 holes spread across 135 acres. The club relocated in the 1950s, and the South Course, which opened in 1959, was designed by famous golf course architect Robert Trent Jones Sr. The South Course, which measures over 7,500 yards from the championship tees, has been named by Golf Digest as one of the greatest in the United States.

 

The South Course at Wilmington Country Club will play 7,534 yards, par 71 this week as we combine holes from the North and South course. As we touched upon Robert Trent Jones Sr. designed it. After a tornado devastated the region in August 2020, Andrew Green redesigned the course in 2021. A 250-year-old white oak was among the 300 trees that the tornado downed in just five minutes, allowing Green to relocating the 14th green back by 60 yards. The front and back nines of the course will be combined in the tournament routing (e.g. Nos. 1, 2, 3, and 4 are actually the 10th, 13th, 14th, and 15th, holes for the members). The club had hired Andrew Green to redesign its North Course, but after the tornado, the club asked Green to help with the South Course as it got ready for the PGA TOUR Fedex playoff this week.

 

Looking at the overheads this week there will be a premium on driving the ball long and straight, the course will have thick rough and will certainly penalize the players, unlike many courses on the PGA Tour rota. Seconds shots here won’t prove that difficult for players who are hitting from the short grass, the greens are huge, and the key part will be hitting the right segment of the green to open up birdie looks. I expect tough scoring conditions this week with a winning score in the low teens circa 12-14 under par.

 

Let’s break down those all-important key skill sets required to lift the trophy and have a shot at the 18 million dollar FedEx cup trophy next week at East Lake

 

 

Key Skill Sets Required

    1. SG T2G – A new course for the players this week with little to no data to reflect upon. Mean the starting point for my research will be those players who are excelling right now with their T2G game. Given this is the crunch stage of the season and big prizes on offer I want players onside who are cruising with their T2G game. I don’t want players who are up and down, fighting their overall game, especially heading into a tough test like this.
    2. SG Off The Tee – Looking at the video by the NBC team, the course has some seriously dangerous rough, from all accounts the rough will be grown to 3inch deep come to the tournament start date. This will mean hitting fairways is an absolute premium and gaining strokes off the tee over your competitors will set up opportunities to make birdies and climb that leaderboard. I expect the winner will be in the TOP 10 of SG Off The Tee come Sunday.
    3. Proximity to Hole – Hitting greens in regulation will be a walk in the park for the 70 hottest players in world golf, so instead of looking at GIR and SG Approach I want to pay more attention to proximity to the hole stats, and identify those players who, hit it closer than their peers consistently.
    4. SG Around The Green – This is a long track which will stretch many players. This will result in lots of short shots in and around the green complexes. I want players onside who have shown their long-term short game is up to the test ahead.
    5. SG Putting – Large and Undulating Bentgrass putting surfaces face the players this week, it will be the first time these players will have seen the surfaces here in Delaware, so when doing your research id encourage you to look for players with good 36/50 round stats in their favour on this unique surface.

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