Gingerbets Insights & Picks

US Open 2022

Course & Location:

Brookline Country Golf Club, Brookline, MA

Dates:

16 - 19 June 2022

Purse:

$12.5 million

Par:

70 / Yardage 7,264

Fairways:

Bentgrass with Poa Annua

Greens:

Poa Annua with mix of Bentgrass

US Open 2022 Videos

US Open 2022 Picks

Best Underdog Pick

Daniel Berger
  • Struggled since blowing the lead at the Honda earlier this year. This is a test I have always had my eye on him for.
  • A superb driver of the ball, one of the most accurate on tour with a natural baby fade on nearly every shot.
  • His Iron play is improving week on week and reaching the levels he showed in 2021, ranked 21st for approach play over the past 36 rounds.
  • In the top 20 for good drives gained, par 3 scoring & SG T2G over the past 36 rounds.
Odds 50/1 +5000

Best Favorite Pick

Justin Thomas
  • 2 top 10’s in the US Open from 7 attempts
  • Arrives here on the back of a major win and he game seems to be getting better each and every week.
  • Ranked 12th for SG off the tee over the past 36 rounds, which is often a weakness in his game.
  • Ranked in the top 10 for SG around the green, scrambling and save saves over the past 36 rounds on tour.
  • No weakness in his game high on confidence and will relish the opportunity to win the toughest test in the game the US Open. JT will be a man on a mission.
Odds 14/1 +1400

Best Top 20 Pick

Jon Rham
    • A win and a further 3rd placed finish from 6 U.S Opens.
    • A winner already this year.
    • A superb driver off the golf ball, a huge asset in U.S Opens.
    • Ranked 1st T2G on tough scoring tests over the last 36 rounds.
    • Ranked 2nd SG Off the tee on difficult scoring tracks over the past 36 rounds.
    • Ranked 3rd for GIR gained over the past 36 rounds on difficult courses.
    • Ranked 9th in SG approach play over the past 36 rounds.
Odds 3/5 -167

First Round Leader Picks

Keegan Bradley
Odds 75/1 +7500

Tony Finau
Odds 50/1 +5000

US Open 2022 Betting Strategies & Previews

Daniel Berger Betting Tips & Odds to Win The 2022 U.S. Open – June 16-19
06/13/2022
Jon Rahm Betting Tips & Odds to Win The 2022 U.S. Open – June 16-19
06/13/2022
Justin Thomas Betting Tips & Odds to Win The 2022 U.S. Open – June 16-19
06/13/2022

Fantasy Golf Players

One & Done – Best Outright

Shane Lowry
  • 2 top 10’s at The US Open, with a best placed 2nd.
  • In the most consistent form of his career 6 top 20’s in his last 8 starts, 4 of those top 10’s
  • Ranked 1st in Bogey Avoidance over the past 36 rounds on tour, a key attribute heading into a US Open.
  • Ranked 7th for SG Scrambling another key attribute required to be successful at US Open’s
  • Ranked 6th in both SG approach play and GIR gained over the past 36 rounds on tour.
  • If Shane brings his current game to the party this week it’s hard to see him not being a factor at the top of the leaderboard.
$10,300  

Salary Cap is $11k to $12k

Best Plays

Justin Thomas

Jon Rahm

Rory Mcllroy

$11,800

$11,800

$11,800

Best Fades

Scottie Sheffeler

Dustin Johnson

$12,000

$11,000

Salary Cap is $9k to $11k

Best Plays

Shane Lowry

Joaquin Niemann

Sungjae Im

$10,300

$10,000

$9,800

Best Fades

Brooks Koepka

Sam Burns

Tyrell Hatton

$10,900

$10,3000

$9,700

Sub $9k

Sleepers

Erik Van Rooyen

Keegan Bradley

$8,200

$8,600

Hidden Gems

Value Plays

Justin Rose

Seamus Power

$8,800

$8,800

US Open 2022 Overview

 

When it comes to legendary sports venues in towns around the US, The Country Club, in the leafy suburb of Brookline, is right up there with Fenway Park as a place where great sports history has taken place and when 156 of the world’s best golfers assemble here this week for the 122nd U.S. Open, we’ll all be treated to more nostalgia in what should be an epic event. For the first time since 1988, the U.S. Open Championship will be held at The Country Club in Brookline, Massachusetts, where Curtis Strange defeated Nick Faldo in an 18-hole playoff.

 

In 34 years, a lot has changed: if there is a tie after 72 holes, it will not be decided in an 18-hole playoff, and the field will face a course that has been lengthened by more than 250 yards. However, yardage alone does not tell the story of the changes made to the course, which has hosted 16 previous USGA championships, beginning with the 1902 U.S. Women’s Amateur. The real difference will be the playing surfaces, not the distance. The Country Club’s greens are small by modern standards, averaging only 4,388 square feet. They’ve been expanded some since 1988, but the widening out to recapture lost hole locations means that the targeted surfaces are actually more demanding and potentially can be set up in very unsettling ways to make approach play extremely challenging.

 

Recent changes have been overseen by Gil Hanse. He has done some work that keeps the long holes long, and the shorter holes will still be demanding. Like any U.S. Open, you’ve got to have control of your ball. It’s going to be fascinating to watch. Hanse has done work on several U.S. Open courses, including 2020 host Winged Foot Golf Club and The Los Angeles Country Club, which will host in 2023 along with a say in the recent redesign of Southern Hills which hosted the last major.

 

Ahead of the 2021 tournament the requirements to win this event were clear-cut: the likely champion would be under-35, in the world’s top 25, had played at least three championships already (with a top 25 under his belt), and have finished top three in the year already. Jon Rahm, who then lifted the trophy, fitted the bill perfectly. This will be a good starting point again in 2022.

 

 

Key Skills Set Required

    1. SG T2G – Lifting a Major Championship trophy requires elite T2G performance over four consecutive days. The foundation for stress-free golf comes from having a solid T2G game, and I want to look for players who have shown that over the past few months. This track is a long and demanding Par71 with only the 2 Par 5’s on offer which gives little rest bite to players who are fully tuned in with every club in the bag.
    2. SG OTT – It is easy to get lost in all the “how long is the rough” chat. Thinking accuracy off the tee is imperative can be misleading, the data tells a story of power succeeding over precision despite all the noise we hear about the rough. Driving Distance has been a key attribute to success at the recent US Opens with 4 of the last 6 winners ranking in the Top 10 for Driving Distance on that given week and none of the last 7 winners ranking in the top 50 for accuracy off the tee. 5 of the last 7 winners have ranked in the top 10 for SG Off The Tee. Elite level drivers of the ball who gain strokes on the field in this skill category will have a distinct advantage this week.
    3. SG Approach Play – The most important metric of all the SG data points. So with small greens and a Major championship challenge this week, I see no reason why approach play won’t play a key factor.
    4. GIR gained – The last 4 winners of the US open have ranked 4th, 3rd, 1st, 5th for GIR gained on that given week. Say no more with the second smallest green on the major circuit, only behind pebble beach. Players who pepper the centre of these green creating plenty of birdie putts to the tucked pins will have enhanced chances of success.
    5. SG Around the green – Some of the smallest green in the USA and the smallest of all tracks on the Major circuit. Players will be tested time and time again throughout the 4 days around the green. The players who rise into the top 10 this week will have outperformed the field average in this department that’s for sure.
    6. SG Scrambling – As I have touched upon these are some of the smallest green the players will face all year round. Not only that they will be fast and firm meaning the first bounce will often see the ball skipping off greens and into the run-off areas and rough. Players are going to be scrambling 25% of the time this week. We will only be looking at players with a proven appetite for this type of test.

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